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Danger Zone Case Simulator

Open the Danger Zone Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
Danger Zone Case
Danger Zone Case

Press Space or click Open Case

Tap Open Case below

Buy this case$0.97 — Danger Zone Case
Opening it for real costs $3.59 with a key.
1x

What the Danger Zone Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$3.59
Average return$1.55
Expected loss-$2.04
Return rate43.3%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.47$0.37
Restricted15.98%$1.10$0.18
Classified3.20%$7.13$0.23
Covert0.64%$47.31$0.30
Knife / Gloves0.26%$182.45$0.47

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $359.00 and returns about $155.40 on average — an expected loss of $203.60.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $958.53 at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Danger Zone Case Contents69 items

Covert0.64%2 items
AK-47 | AsiimovAK-47Asiimov$40.66AWP | Neo-NoirAWPNeo-Noir$39.39
Classified3.20%3 items
Desert Eagle | Mecha IndustriesDesert EagleMecha Industries$5.03
Restricted15.98%5 items
G3SG1 | ScavengerG3SG1Scavenger$0.48Galil AR | SignalGalil ARSignal$0.56
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Glock-18 | Oxide BlazeGlock-18Oxide Blaze$0.24M4A4 | MagnesiumM4A4Magnesium$0.46
Restricted15.98%5 items
MAC-10 | Pipe DownMAC-10Pipe Down$0.48
Classified3.20%3 items
MP5-SD | PhosphorMP5-SDPhosphor$4.23
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
MP9 | Modest ThreatMP9Modest Threat$0.23Nova | Wood FiredNovaWood Fired$0.25
Restricted15.98%5 items
P250 | NevermoreP250Nevermore$0.89
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Sawed-Off | Black SandSawed-OffBlack Sand$0.21SG 553 | Danger CloseSG 553Danger Close$0.27Tec-9 | FubarTec-9Fubar$0.25
Classified3.20%3 items
UMP-45 | MomentumUMP-45Momentum$4.46
Restricted15.98%5 items
USP-S | FlashbackUSP-SFlashback$0.57
Knife / Gloves0.26%52 items
Navaja Knife | Blue SteelNavaja KnifeBlue Steel$46.76Navaja Knife | Boreal ForestNavaja KnifeBoreal Forest$37.95Navaja Knife | Case HardenedNavaja KnifeCase Hardened$68.93Navaja Knife | Crimson WebNavaja KnifeCrimson Web$56.66Navaja Knife | FadeNavaja KnifeFade$162.20Navaja Knife | Forest DDPATNavaja KnifeForest DDPAT$37.84Navaja Knife | Night StripeNavaja KnifeNight Stripe$40.28Navaja Knife | Safari MeshNavaja KnifeSafari Mesh$38.64Navaja Knife | ScorchedNavaja KnifeScorched$38.94Navaja Knife | SlaughterNavaja KnifeSlaughter$89.37Navaja Knife | StainedNavaja KnifeStained$44.40Navaja Knife | Urban MaskedNavaja KnifeUrban Masked$39.22Navaja Knife | VanillaNavaja KnifeVanilla$37.50Stiletto Knife | Blue SteelStiletto KnifeBlue Steel$206.14Stiletto Knife | Boreal ForestStiletto KnifeBoreal Forest$125.42Stiletto Knife | Case HardenedStiletto KnifeCase Hardened$229.68Stiletto Knife | Crimson WebStiletto KnifeCrimson Web$244.48Stiletto Knife | FadeStiletto KnifeFade$495.64Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPATStiletto KnifeForest DDPAT$124.69Stiletto Knife | Night StripeStiletto KnifeNight Stripe$144.38Stiletto Knife | Safari MeshStiletto KnifeSafari Mesh$125.66Stiletto Knife | ScorchedStiletto KnifeScorched$139.25Stiletto Knife | SlaughterStiletto KnifeSlaughter$359.14Stiletto Knife | StainedStiletto KnifeStained$171.52Stiletto Knife | Urban MaskedStiletto KnifeUrban Masked$150.80Stiletto Knife | VanillaStiletto KnifeVanilla$181.15Talon Knife | Blue SteelTalon KnifeBlue Steel$391.22Talon Knife | Boreal ForestTalon KnifeBoreal Forest$201.07Talon Knife | Case HardenedTalon KnifeCase Hardened$420.30Talon Knife | Crimson WebTalon KnifeCrimson Web$345.07Talon Knife | FadeTalon KnifeFade$884.35Talon Knife | Forest DDPATTalon KnifeForest DDPAT$201.01Talon Knife | Night StripeTalon KnifeNight Stripe$236.42Talon Knife | Safari MeshTalon KnifeSafari Mesh$194.25Talon Knife | ScorchedTalon KnifeScorched$209.68Talon Knife | SlaughterTalon KnifeSlaughter$496.88Talon Knife | StainedTalon KnifeStained$294.73Talon Knife | Urban MaskedTalon KnifeUrban Masked$229.77Talon Knife | VanillaTalon KnifeVanilla$306.43Ursus Knife | Blue SteelUrsus KnifeBlue Steel$85.22Ursus Knife | Boreal ForestUrsus KnifeBoreal Forest$51.29Ursus Knife | Case HardenedUrsus KnifeCase Hardened$107.55Ursus Knife | Crimson WebUrsus KnifeCrimson Web$116.28Ursus Knife | FadeUrsus KnifeFade$292.87Ursus Knife | Forest DDPATUrsus KnifeForest DDPAT$53.85Ursus Knife | Night StripeUrsus KnifeNight Stripe$63.84Ursus Knife | Safari MeshUrsus KnifeSafari Mesh$50.03Ursus Knife | ScorchedUrsus KnifeScorched$60.25Ursus Knife | SlaughterUrsus KnifeSlaughter$160.94Ursus Knife | StainedUrsus KnifeStained$67.59Ursus Knife | Urban MaskedUrsus KnifeUrban Masked$65.39Ursus Knife | VanillaUrsus KnifeVanilla$72.36
Danger Zone Case prices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Danger Zone Case

The Danger Zone Case costs $1.10 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $3.59 per open. At live market prices it returns $1.55 on average, which is 43c back per dollar — an expected loss of $2.04 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 52 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $958.53 at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Danger Zone Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Danger Zone Case returns about $1.55 per open against a cost of $3.59 ($1.10 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 43c back per dollar, an expected loss of $2.04 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Danger Zone Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Danger Zone Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $958.53 at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Danger Zone Case?

The Danger Zone Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 52 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Danger Zone Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Danger Zone Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices