SkinsMonkeySkinRave

Horizon Case Simulator

Open the Horizon Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
Horizon Case
Horizon Case

Press Space or click Open Case

Tap Open Case below

Buy this case$1.32 — Horizon Case
Opening it for real costs $3.99 with a key.
1x

What the Horizon Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$3.99
Average return$2.10
Expected loss-$1.89
Return rate52.6%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.53$0.42
Restricted15.98%$2.82$0.45
Classified3.20%$11.54$0.37
Covert0.64%$59.59$0.38
Knife / Gloves0.26%$181.39$0.47

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $399.00 and returns about $209.68 on average — an expected loss of $189.32.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $1.1K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Horizon Case Contents69 items

Covert0.64%2 items
AK-47 | Neon RiderAK-47Neon Rider$41.47
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
AUG | Amber SlipstreamAUGAmber Slipstream$0.35
Restricted15.98%5 items
AWP | PAWAWPPAW$1.95CZ75-Auto | EcoCZ75-AutoEco$0.94
Covert0.64%2 items
Desert Eagle | Code RedDesert EagleCode Red$43.68
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Dual Berettas | ShredDual BerettasShred$0.37
Classified3.20%3 items
FAMAS | Eye of AthenaFAMASEye of Athena$4.87
Restricted15.98%5 items
G3SG1 | High SeasG3SG1High Seas$0.87
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Glock-18 | WarhawkGlock-18Warhawk$0.39
Classified3.20%3 items
M4A1-S | NightmareM4A1-SNightmare$8.48
Restricted15.98%5 items
MP7 | PowercoreMP7Powercore$0.87
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
MP9 | CapillaryMP9Capillary$0.38
Restricted15.98%5 items
Nova | Toy SoldierNovaToy Soldier$0.86
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
P90 | TractionP90Traction$0.54R8 Revolver | SurvivalistR8 RevolverSurvivalist$0.37
Classified3.20%3 items
Sawed-Off | DevourerSawed-OffDevourer$4.67
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Tec-9 | Snek-9Tec-9Snek-9$0.40
Knife / Gloves0.26%52 items
Navaja Knife | Blue SteelNavaja KnifeBlue Steel$47.33Navaja Knife | Boreal ForestNavaja KnifeBoreal Forest$38.06Navaja Knife | Case HardenedNavaja KnifeCase Hardened$69.28Navaja Knife | Crimson WebNavaja KnifeCrimson Web$57.46Navaja Knife | FadeNavaja KnifeFade$161.57Navaja Knife | Forest DDPATNavaja KnifeForest DDPAT$38.22Navaja Knife | Night StripeNavaja KnifeNight Stripe$40.28Navaja Knife | Safari MeshNavaja KnifeSafari Mesh$38.41Navaja Knife | ScorchedNavaja KnifeScorched$39.44Navaja Knife | SlaughterNavaja KnifeSlaughter$89.46Navaja Knife | StainedNavaja KnifeStained$44.42Navaja Knife | Urban MaskedNavaja KnifeUrban Masked$39.78Navaja Knife | VanillaNavaja KnifeVanilla$37.70Stiletto Knife | Blue SteelStiletto KnifeBlue Steel$209.36Stiletto Knife | Boreal ForestStiletto KnifeBoreal Forest$127.06Stiletto Knife | Case HardenedStiletto KnifeCase Hardened$231.54Stiletto Knife | Crimson WebStiletto KnifeCrimson Web$248.38Stiletto Knife | FadeStiletto KnifeFade$497.76Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPATStiletto KnifeForest DDPAT$125.39Stiletto Knife | Night StripeStiletto KnifeNight Stripe$142.01Stiletto Knife | Safari MeshStiletto KnifeSafari Mesh$124.99Stiletto Knife | ScorchedStiletto KnifeScorched$137.23Stiletto Knife | SlaughterStiletto KnifeSlaughter$358.81Stiletto Knife | StainedStiletto KnifeStained$170.23Stiletto Knife | Urban MaskedStiletto KnifeUrban Masked$151.45Stiletto Knife | VanillaStiletto KnifeVanilla$178.59Talon Knife | Blue SteelTalon KnifeBlue Steel$396.08Talon Knife | Boreal ForestTalon KnifeBoreal Forest$202.20Talon Knife | Case HardenedTalon KnifeCase Hardened$417.91Talon Knife | Crimson WebTalon KnifeCrimson Web$344.15Talon Knife | FadeTalon KnifeFade$881.05Talon Knife | Forest DDPATTalon KnifeForest DDPAT$201.88Talon Knife | Night StripeTalon KnifeNight Stripe$234.79Talon Knife | Safari MeshTalon KnifeSafari Mesh$192.26Talon Knife | ScorchedTalon KnifeScorched$207.32Talon Knife | SlaughterTalon KnifeSlaughter$493.73Talon Knife | StainedTalon KnifeStained$297.94Talon Knife | Urban MaskedTalon KnifeUrban Masked$226.58Talon Knife | VanillaTalon KnifeVanilla$300.23Ursus Knife | Blue SteelUrsus KnifeBlue Steel$85.51Ursus Knife | Boreal ForestUrsus KnifeBoreal Forest$51.89Ursus Knife | Case HardenedUrsus KnifeCase Hardened$108.65Ursus Knife | Crimson WebUrsus KnifeCrimson Web$117.59Ursus Knife | FadeUrsus KnifeFade$297.18Ursus Knife | Forest DDPATUrsus KnifeForest DDPAT$52.49Ursus Knife | Night StripeUrsus KnifeNight Stripe$63.22Ursus Knife | Safari MeshUrsus KnifeSafari Mesh$49.74Ursus Knife | ScorchedUrsus KnifeScorched$60.19Ursus Knife | SlaughterUrsus KnifeSlaughter$159.66Ursus Knife | StainedUrsus KnifeStained$67.72Ursus Knife | Urban MaskedUrsus KnifeUrban Masked$62.90Ursus Knife | VanillaUrsus KnifeVanilla$75.06
Horizon Case prices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Horizon Case

The Horizon Case costs $1.50 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $3.99 per open. At live market prices it returns $2.10 on average, which is 53c back per dollar — an expected loss of $1.89 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 52 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.1K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Horizon Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Horizon Case returns about $2.10 per open against a cost of $3.99 ($1.50 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 53c back per dollar, an expected loss of $1.89 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Horizon Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Horizon Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.1K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Horizon Case?

The Horizon Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 52 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Horizon Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Horizon Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices