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Horizon Case Simulator

Open the Horizon Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Horizon Case
Horizon Case

Press Space or click Open Case

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What the Horizon Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$4.01
Average return$39.88
Expected gain+$35.87
Return rate994.4%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$22.24$17.78
Restricted15.98%$102.67$16.41
Classified3.20%$28.46$0.91
Covert0.64%$666.88$4.27
Knife / Gloves0.26%$197.98$0.51

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $401.00 and returns about $4.0K on average — an expected loss of $3.6K.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $1.1Kat this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Horizon Case Contents81 items

AK-47 | Neon RiderAK-47 | Neon Rider$45.10AUG | Amber SlipstreamAUG | Amber Slipstream$0.40AWP | PAWAWP | PAW$1.92CZ75-Auto | EcoCZ75-Auto | Eco$0.93Desert Eagle | Code RedDesert Eagle | Code Red$44.38Dual Berettas | ShredDual Berettas | Shred$0.42FAMAS | Eye of AthenaFAMAS | Eye of Athena$4.79G3SG1 | High SeasG3SG1 | High Seas$0.68Glock-18 | WarhawkGlock-18 | Warhawk$0.45M4A1-S | NightmareM4A1-S | Nightmare$8.99MP7 | PowercoreMP7 | Powercore$0.93MP9 | CapillaryMP9 | Capillary$0.43Nova | Toy SoldierNova | Toy Soldier$0.91P90 | TractionP90 | Traction$0.54R8 Revolver | SurvivalistR8 Revolver | Survivalist$0.40Sawed-Off | DevourerSawed-Off | Devourer$5.11Tec-9 | Snek-9Tec-9 | Snek-9$0.42
Special Items (0.26%)
Navaja Knife | Blue SteelNavaja Knife | Blue Steel$50.02Navaja Knife | Boreal ForestNavaja Knife | Boreal Forest$41.39Navaja Knife | Case HardenedNavaja Knife | Case Hardened$74.96Navaja Knife | Crimson WebNavaja Knife | Crimson Web$60.62Navaja Knife | FadeNavaja Knife | Fade$156.26Navaja Knife | Forest DDPATNavaja Knife | Forest DDPAT$40.22Navaja Knife | Night StripeNavaja Knife | Night Stripe$40.99Navaja Knife | Safari MeshNavaja Knife | Safari Mesh$39.21Navaja Knife | ScorchedNavaja Knife | Scorched$41.51Navaja Knife | SlaughterNavaja Knife | Slaughter$87.30Navaja Knife | StainedNavaja Knife | Stained$43.68Navaja Knife | Tiger ToothNavaja Knife | Tiger Tooth$97.50Navaja Knife | Urban MaskedNavaja Knife | Urban Masked$42.96Navaja Knife | VanillaNavaja Knife | Vanilla$41.34Stiletto Knife | Blue SteelStiletto Knife | Blue Steel$211.74Stiletto Knife | Boreal ForestStiletto Knife | Boreal Forest$126.13Stiletto Knife | Case HardenedStiletto Knife | Case Hardened$239.93Stiletto Knife | Crimson WebStiletto Knife | Crimson Web$248.18Stiletto Knife | Damascus SteelStiletto Knife | Damascus Steel$192.59Stiletto Knife | FadeStiletto Knife | Fade$508.35Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPATStiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT$128.61Stiletto Knife | Marble FadeStiletto Knife | Marble Fade$353.52Stiletto Knife | Night StripeStiletto Knife | Night Stripe$144.45Stiletto Knife | Rust CoatStiletto Knife | Rust Coat$155.80Stiletto Knife | Safari MeshStiletto Knife | Safari Mesh$125.60Stiletto Knife | ScorchedStiletto Knife | Scorched$139.93Stiletto Knife | SlaughterStiletto Knife | Slaughter$361.79Stiletto Knife | StainedStiletto Knife | Stained$174.67Stiletto Knife | Tiger ToothStiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth$344.60Stiletto Knife | Urban MaskedStiletto Knife | Urban Masked$150.81Stiletto Knife | VanillaStiletto Knife | Vanilla$200.71Talon Knife | Blue SteelTalon Knife | Blue Steel$388.95Talon Knife | Boreal ForestTalon Knife | Boreal Forest$203.35Talon Knife | Case HardenedTalon Knife | Case Hardened$415.30Talon Knife | Crimson WebTalon Knife | Crimson Web$358.44Talon Knife | FadeTalon Knife | Fade$927.96Talon Knife | Forest DDPATTalon Knife | Forest DDPAT$206.31Talon Knife | Marble FadeTalon Knife | Marble Fade$622.89Talon Knife | Night StripeTalon Knife | Night Stripe$242.89Talon Knife | Rust CoatTalon Knife | Rust Coat$290.76Talon Knife | Safari MeshTalon Knife | Safari Mesh$195.65Talon Knife | ScorchedTalon Knife | Scorched$213.87Talon Knife | SlaughterTalon Knife | Slaughter$503.44Talon Knife | StainedTalon Knife | Stained$297.73Talon Knife | Tiger ToothTalon Knife | Tiger Tooth$516.69Talon Knife | Urban MaskedTalon Knife | Urban Masked$227.97Talon Knife | VanillaTalon Knife | Vanilla$329.55Ursus Knife | Blue SteelUrsus Knife | Blue Steel$92.89Ursus Knife | Boreal ForestUrsus Knife | Boreal Forest$54.02Ursus Knife | Case HardenedUrsus Knife | Case Hardened$109.99Ursus Knife | Crimson WebUrsus Knife | Crimson Web$124.50Ursus Knife | Damascus SteelUrsus Knife | Damascus Steel$78.56Ursus Knife | FadeUrsus Knife | Fade$300.82Ursus Knife | Forest DDPATUrsus Knife | Forest DDPAT$57.55Ursus Knife | Marble FadeUrsus Knife | Marble Fade$203.46Ursus Knife | Night StripeUrsus Knife | Night Stripe$65.94Ursus Knife | Rust CoatUrsus Knife | Rust Coat$78.03Ursus Knife | Safari MeshUrsus Knife | Safari Mesh$52.47Ursus Knife | ScorchedUrsus Knife | Scorched$60.00Ursus Knife | SlaughterUrsus Knife | Slaughter$164.37Ursus Knife | StainedUrsus Knife | Stained$75.16Ursus Knife | Tiger ToothUrsus Knife | Tiger Tooth$161.99Ursus Knife | Urban MaskedUrsus Knife | Urban Masked$67.40Ursus Knife | VanillaUrsus Knife | Vanilla$80.44
Horizon Caseprices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Horizon Case

The Horizon Case costs $1.52 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $4.01 per open. At live market prices it returns $39.88 on average, which is 994c back per dollar — an expected gain of $35.87 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 64 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.1Kat this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Horizon Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Horizon Case returns about $39.88 per open against a cost of $4.01 ($1.52 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 994c back per dollar, an expected gain of $35.87 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Horizon Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Horizon Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.1K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Horizon Case?

The Horizon Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 64 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Horizon Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Horizon Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices