Clutch Case Simulator
Open the Clutch Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.
What the Clutch Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop
| Tier | Chance | Average value | Adds to return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | $0.94 | $0.75 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | $0.85 | $0.14 |
| Classified | 3.20% | $27.88 | $0.89 |
| Covert | 0.64% | $41.02 | $0.26 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | $131.49 | $0.34 |
Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.
Drop Rates
Your odds over multiple opens
A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.
100 opens costs $306.00 and returns about $238.62 on average — an expected loss of $67.38.
| Tier | Per open | At least one in 100 | Opens for a coin-flip |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 100.00% | 1 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 100.00% | 4 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 96.13% | 22 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 47.38% | 108 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | 22.92% | 267 |
A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $817.02at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.
Clutch Case Contents41 items
AUG | Stymphalian$3.47
AWP | Mortis$172.61
Five-SeveN | Flame Test$0.14
Glock-18 | Moonrise$0.94
M4A4 | Neo-Noir$32.67
MAG-7 | SWAG-7$0.45
MP7 | Bloodsport$30.85
MP9 | Black Sand$0.15
Negev | Lionfish$0.41
Nova | Wild Six$0.40
P2000 | Urban Hazard$0.15
PP-Bizon | Night Riot$0.15
R8 Revolver | Grip$0.19
SG 553 | Aloha$0.22
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf$0.41
USP-S | Cortex$3.68
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze$0.16
Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid$154.38
Driver Gloves | King Snake$142.37
Driver Gloves | Overtake$45.97
Driver Gloves | Racing Green$32.61
Hand Wraps | Arboreal$42.34
Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls$211.76
Hand Wraps | Duct Tape$46.78
Hand Wraps | Overprint$113.43
Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened$58.60
Hydra Gloves | Emerald$35.39
Hydra Gloves | Mangrove$30.92
Hydra Gloves | Rattler$30.29
Moto Gloves | Polygon$116.65
Moto Gloves | POW!$88.88
Moto Gloves | Transport$38.22
Moto Gloves | Turtle$62.21
Specialist Gloves | Buckshot$45.90
Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web$130.44
Specialist Gloves | Fade$186.24
Specialist Gloves | Mogul$106.08
Sport Gloves | Amphibious$313.52
Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph$84.45
Sport Gloves | Omega$205.86
Sport Gloves | Vice$438.55Opening the Clutch Case
The Clutch Case costs $0.57 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $3.06 per open. At live market prices it returns $2.39 on average, which is 78c back per dollar — an expected loss of $0.67 every time you open one.
It contains 17 weapon skins and 24 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $817.02at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.
CS2 Case Drop Rates
These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Clutch Case worth opening?
At current market prices the Clutch Case returns about $2.39 per open against a cost of $3.06 ($0.57 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 78c back per dollar, an expected loss of $0.67 every time you open one.
What are the odds in the Clutch Case?
Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.
How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Clutch Case?
The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $817.02 at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.
What is in the Clutch Case?
The Clutch Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 24 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.
Can I open the Clutch Case for free?
Yes. This simulator opens the Clutch Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.
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