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Dreams & Nightmares Case Simulator

Open the Dreams & Nightmares Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

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Spent$0.00
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ROI+0.0%
Dreams & Nightmares Case
Dreams & Nightmares Case

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What the Dreams & Nightmares Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$3.70
Average return$18.58
Expected gain+$14.88
Return rate502.1%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$9.29$7.42
Restricted15.98%$51.74$8.27
Classified3.20%$7.04$0.23
Covert0.64%$108.61$0.70
Knife / Gloves0.26%$756.82$1.97

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $370.00 and returns about $1.9K on average — an expected loss of $1.5K.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $987.90at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Dreams & Nightmares Case Contents37 items

AK-47 | NightwishAK-47 | Nightwish$184.52Dual Berettas | MelondramaDual Berettas | Melondrama$6.68FAMAS | Rapid Eye MovementFAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement$6.73Five-SeveN | ScrawlFive-SeveN | Scrawl$0.11G3SG1 | Dream GladeG3SG1 | Dream Glade$272.00M4A1-S | Night TerrorM4A1-S | Night Terror$0.63MAC-10 | EnsnaredMAC-10 | Ensnared$102.77MAG-7 | ForesightMAG-7 | Foresight$0.13MP5-SD | Necro Jr.MP5-SD | Necro Jr.$0.10MP7 | Abyssal ApparitionMP7 | Abyssal Apparition$6.70MP9 | Starlight ProtectorMP9 | Starlight Protector$66.41P2000 | Lifted SpiritsP2000 | Lifted Spirits$0.10PP-Bizon | Space CatPP-Bizon | Space Cat$0.62Sawed-Off | Spirit BoardSawed-Off | Spirit Board$0.11SCAR-20 | PoultrygeistSCAR-20 | Poultrygeist$0.08USP-S | Ticket to HellUSP-S | Ticket to Hell$0.64XM1014 | Zombie OffensiveXM1014 | Zombie Offensive$0.60
Special Items (0.26%)
Bowie Knife | Black LaminateBowie Knife | Black Laminate$52.09Bowie Knife | Bright WaterBowie Knife | Bright Water$50.36Bowie Knife | FreehandBowie Knife | Freehand$61.03Butterfly Knife | AutotronicButterfly Knife | Autotronic$890.96Butterfly Knife | Bright WaterButterfly Knife | Bright Water$535.82Butterfly Knife | FreehandButterfly Knife | Freehand$599.68Falchion Knife | AutotronicFalchion Knife | Autotronic$97.67Falchion Knife | Bright WaterFalchion Knife | Bright Water$64.26Huntsman Knife | AutotronicHuntsman Knife | Autotronic$104.65Huntsman Knife | Bright WaterHuntsman Knife | Bright Water$56.57Huntsman Knife | FreehandHuntsman Knife | Freehand$62.27Huntsman Knife | LoreHuntsman Knife | Lore$90.61Shadow Daggers | AutotronicShadow Daggers | Autotronic$47.91Shadow Daggers | Bright WaterShadow Daggers | Bright Water$41.29Shadow Daggers | FreehandShadow Daggers | Freehand$44.72Bowie Knife | Gamma DopplerBowie Knife | Gamma Doppler$710.47Butterfly Knife | Gamma DopplerButterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler$9.8KFalchion Knife | Gamma DopplerFalchion Knife | Gamma Doppler$691.88Huntsman Knife | Gamma DopplerHuntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler$744.74Shadow Daggers | Gamma DopplerShadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler$284.71
Dreams & Nightmares Caseprices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Dreams & Nightmares Case

The Dreams & Nightmares Case costs $1.21 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $3.70 per open. At live market prices it returns $18.58 on average, which is 502c back per dollar — an expected gain of $14.88 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 20 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $987.90at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Dreams & Nightmares Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Dreams & Nightmares Case returns about $18.58 per open against a cost of $3.70 ($1.21 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 502c back per dollar, an expected gain of $14.88 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Dreams & Nightmares Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Dreams & Nightmares Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $987.90 at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Dreams & Nightmares Case?

The Dreams & Nightmares Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 20 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Dreams & Nightmares Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Dreams & Nightmares Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices