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Spectrum 2 Case Simulator

Open the Spectrum 2 Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
Spectrum 2 Case
Spectrum 2 Case

Press Space or click Open Case

Tap Open Case below

Opening it for real costs $5.37 with a key.
1x

What the Spectrum 2 Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$5.37
Average return$3.57
Expected loss-$1.80
Return rate66.5%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.34$0.27
Restricted15.98%$1.35$0.22
Classified3.20%$12.06$0.39
Covert0.64%$104.96$0.67
Knife / Gloves0.26%$778.00$2.02

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $537.00 and returns about $356.87 on average — an expected loss of $180.13.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $1.4K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Spectrum 2 Case Contents47 items

Covert0.64%2 items
AK-47 | The EmpressAK-47The Empress$101.89
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
AUG | TriquaAUGTriqua$0.26
Restricted15.98%5 items
CZ75-Auto | TacticatCZ75-AutoTacticat$1.07
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
G3SG1 | HunterG3SG1Hunter$0.29Glock-18 | Off WorldGlock-18Off World$0.31
Classified3.20%3 items
M4A1-S | Leaded GlassM4A1-SLeaded Glass$10.42
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
MAC-10 | OceanicMAC-10Oceanic$0.29
Restricted15.98%5 items
MP9 | GooMP9Goo$1.04
Covert0.64%2 items
P250 | See Ya LaterP250See Ya Later$103.58
Classified3.20%3 items
PP-Bizon | High RollerPP-BizonHigh Roller$10.49R8 Revolver | Llama CannonR8 RevolverLlama Cannon$10.43
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Sawed-Off | MorrisSawed-OffMorris$0.28SCAR-20 | Jungle SlipstreamSCAR-20Jungle Slipstream$0.26
Restricted15.98%5 items
SG 553 | PhantomSG 553Phantom$1.06
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Tec-9 | Cracked OpalTec-9Cracked Opal$0.26
Restricted15.98%5 items
UMP-45 | ExposureUMP-45Exposure$1.06XM1014 | ZiggyXM1014Ziggy$1.04
Knife / Gloves0.26%30 items
Bowie Knife | Damascus SteelBowie KnifeDamascus Steel$68.10Bowie Knife | Marble FadeBowie KnifeMarble Fade$206.13Bowie Knife | Rust CoatBowie KnifeRust Coat$64.22Bowie Knife | Tiger ToothBowie KnifeTiger Tooth$165.11Bowie Knife | UltravioletBowie KnifeUltraviolet$53.76Butterfly Knife | Damascus SteelButterfly KnifeDamascus Steel$652.01Butterfly Knife | Marble FadeButterfly KnifeMarble Fade$1.7KButterfly Knife | Rust CoatButterfly KnifeRust Coat$548.13Butterfly Knife | Tiger ToothButterfly KnifeTiger Tooth$1.2KButterfly Knife | UltravioletButterfly KnifeUltraviolet$554.97Falchion Knife | Damascus SteelFalchion KnifeDamascus Steel$81.94Falchion Knife | Marble FadeFalchion KnifeMarble Fade$254.65Falchion Knife | Rust CoatFalchion KnifeRust Coat$68.44Falchion Knife | Tiger ToothFalchion KnifeTiger Tooth$174.29Falchion Knife | UltravioletFalchion KnifeUltraviolet$65.88Huntsman Knife | Damascus SteelHuntsman KnifeDamascus Steel$79.04Huntsman Knife | Marble FadeHuntsman KnifeMarble Fade$280.47Huntsman Knife | Rust CoatHuntsman KnifeRust Coat$67.06Huntsman Knife | Tiger ToothHuntsman KnifeTiger Tooth$192.71Huntsman Knife | UltravioletHuntsman KnifeUltraviolet$55.12Shadow Daggers | Damascus SteelShadow DaggersDamascus Steel$42.83Shadow Daggers | Marble FadeShadow DaggersMarble Fade$145.03Shadow Daggers | Rust CoatShadow DaggersRust Coat$48.96Shadow Daggers | Tiger ToothShadow DaggersTiger Tooth$98.08Shadow Daggers | UltravioletShadow DaggersUltraviolet$44.01Bowie Knife | DopplerBowie KnifeDoppler$1.0KButterfly Knife | DopplerButterfly KnifeDoppler$10.0KFalchion Knife | DopplerFalchion KnifeDoppler$1.2KHuntsman Knife | DopplerHuntsman KnifeDoppler$973.67Shadow Daggers | DopplerShadow DaggersDoppler$729.27

Opening the Spectrum 2 Case

The Spectrum 2 Case costs $2.88 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $5.37 per open. At live market prices it returns $3.57 on average, which is 66c back per dollar — an expected loss of $1.80 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 30 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.4K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Spectrum 2 Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Spectrum 2 Case returns about $3.57 per open against a cost of $5.37 ($2.88 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 66c back per dollar, an expected loss of $1.80 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Spectrum 2 Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Spectrum 2 Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.4K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Spectrum 2 Case?

The Spectrum 2 Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 30 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Spectrum 2 Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Spectrum 2 Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices