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eSports 2013 Case Simulator

Open the eSports 2013 Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
eSports 2013 Case
eSports 2013 Case

Press Space or click Open Case

Tap Open Case below

Opening it for real costs $47.29 with a key.
1x

What the eSports 2013 Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$47.29
Average return$14.01
Expected loss-$33.28
Return rate29.6%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$7.86$6.28
Restricted15.98%$20.63$3.30
Classified3.20%$92.62$2.96
Covert0.64%$94.89$0.61
Knife / Gloves0.26%$329.51$0.86

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $4.7K and returns about $1.4K on average — an expected loss of $3.3K.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $12.6K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

eSports 2013 Case Contents74 items

Classified3.20%2 items
AK-47 | Red LaminateAK-47Red Laminate$44.35AWP | BOOMAWPBOOM$96.53
Mil-Spec79.92%3 items
FAMAS | DoomkittyFAMASDoomkitty$7.66
Restricted15.98%3 items
Galil AR | Orange DDPATGalil AROrange DDPAT$16.38
Mil-Spec79.92%3 items
M4A4 | Faded ZebraM4A4Faded Zebra$5.71MAG-7 | MementoMAG-7Memento$3.51
Restricted15.98%3 items
P250 | SplashP250Splash$22.21
Covert0.64%1 item
P90 | Death by KittyP90Death by Kitty$75.56
Restricted15.98%3 items
Sawed-Off | Orange DDPATSawed-OffOrange DDPAT$15.38
Knife / Gloves0.26%65 items
Bayonet | Blue SteelBayonetBlue Steel$199.11Bayonet | Boreal ForestBayonetBoreal Forest$121.24Bayonet | Case HardenedBayonetCase Hardened$242.10Bayonet | Crimson WebBayonetCrimson Web$180.41Bayonet | FadeBayonetFade$476.61Bayonet | Forest DDPATBayonetForest DDPAT$125.36Bayonet | NightBayonetNight$130.88Bayonet | Safari MeshBayonetSafari Mesh$118.95Bayonet | ScorchedBayonetScorched$121.88Bayonet | SlaughterBayonetSlaughter$280.12Bayonet | StainedBayonetStained$143.53Bayonet | Urban MaskedBayonetUrban Masked$125.15Flip Knife | Blue SteelFlip KnifeBlue Steel$159.05Flip Knife | Boreal ForestFlip KnifeBoreal Forest$111.73Flip Knife | Case HardenedFlip KnifeCase Hardened$160.90Flip Knife | Crimson WebFlip KnifeCrimson Web$186.22Flip Knife | FadeFlip KnifeFade$399.22Flip Knife | Forest DDPATFlip KnifeForest DDPAT$111.61Flip Knife | NightFlip KnifeNight$131.74Flip Knife | Safari MeshFlip KnifeSafari Mesh$113.42Flip Knife | ScorchedFlip KnifeScorched$122.52Flip Knife | SlaughterFlip KnifeSlaughter$262.00Flip Knife | StainedFlip KnifeStained$130.62Flip Knife | Urban MaskedFlip KnifeUrban Masked$119.59Gut Knife | Blue SteelGut KnifeBlue Steel$64.85Gut Knife | Boreal ForestGut KnifeBoreal Forest$43.54Gut Knife | Case HardenedGut KnifeCase Hardened$99.14Gut Knife | Crimson WebGut KnifeCrimson Web$66.96Gut Knife | FadeGut KnifeFade$155.76Gut Knife | Forest DDPATGut KnifeForest DDPAT$42.89Gut Knife | NightGut KnifeNight$46.79Gut Knife | Safari MeshGut KnifeSafari Mesh$41.73Gut Knife | ScorchedGut KnifeScorched$44.70Gut Knife | SlaughterGut KnifeSlaughter$113.74Gut Knife | StainedGut KnifeStained$53.18Gut Knife | Urban MaskedGut KnifeUrban Masked$45.10Karambit | Blue SteelKarambitBlue Steel$743.79Karambit | Boreal ForestKarambitBoreal Forest$404.14Karambit | Case HardenedKarambitCase Hardened$729.55Karambit | Crimson WebKarambitCrimson Web$640.63Karambit | FadeKarambitFade$2.1KKarambit | Forest DDPATKarambitForest DDPAT$396.84Karambit | NightKarambitNight$507.45Karambit | Safari MeshKarambitSafari Mesh$386.58Karambit | ScorchedKarambitScorched$425.91Karambit | SlaughterKarambitSlaughter$869.98Karambit | StainedKarambitStained$546.46Karambit | Urban MaskedKarambitUrban Masked$416.55M9 Bayonet | Blue SteelM9 BayonetBlue Steel$496.84M9 Bayonet | Boreal ForestM9 BayonetBoreal Forest$283.91M9 Bayonet | Case HardenedM9 BayonetCase Hardened$486.82M9 Bayonet | Crimson WebM9 BayonetCrimson Web$436.49M9 Bayonet | FadeM9 BayonetFade$1.2KM9 Bayonet | Forest DDPATM9 BayonetForest DDPAT$282.31M9 Bayonet | NightM9 BayonetNight$354.49M9 Bayonet | Safari MeshM9 BayonetSafari Mesh$278.03M9 Bayonet | ScorchedM9 BayonetScorched$285.51M9 Bayonet | SlaughterM9 BayonetSlaughter$664.84M9 Bayonet | StainedM9 BayonetStained$399.50M9 Bayonet | Urban MaskedM9 BayonetUrban Masked$292.29Bayonet | VanillaBayonetVanilla$226.99Flip Knife | VanillaFlip KnifeVanilla$175.55Gut Knife | VanillaGut KnifeVanilla$57.83Karambit | VanillaKarambitVanilla$1.0KM9 Bayonet | VanillaM9 BayonetVanilla$694.57

Opening the eSports 2013 Case

The eSports 2013 Case costs $44.80 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $47.29 per open. At live market prices it returns $14.01 on average, which is 30c back per dollar — an expected loss of $33.28 every time you open one.

It contains 9 weapon skins and 65 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $12.6K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the eSports 2013 Case worth opening?

At current market prices the eSports 2013 Case returns about $14.01 per open against a cost of $47.29 ($44.80 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 30c back per dollar, an expected loss of $33.28 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the eSports 2013 Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the eSports 2013 Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $12.6K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the eSports 2013 Case?

The eSports 2013 Case contains 9 weapon skins plus 65 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the eSports 2013 Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the eSports 2013 Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices