eSports 2013 Case Simulator
Open the eSports 2013 Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.
What the eSports 2013 Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop
| Tier | Chance | Average value | Adds to return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | $7.86 | $6.28 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | $20.63 | $3.30 |
| Classified | 3.20% | $92.62 | $2.96 |
| Covert | 0.64% | $94.89 | $0.61 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | $329.51 | $0.86 |
Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.
Drop Rates
Your odds over multiple opens
A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.
100 opens costs $4.7K and returns about $1.4K on average — an expected loss of $3.3K.
| Tier | Per open | At least one in 100 | Opens for a coin-flip |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 100.00% | 1 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 100.00% | 4 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 96.13% | 22 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 47.38% | 108 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | 22.92% | 267 |
A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $12.6K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.
eSports 2013 Case Contents74 items
AK-47Red Laminate$44.35
AWPBOOM$96.53
FAMASDoomkitty$7.66
Galil AROrange DDPAT$16.38
M4A4Faded Zebra$5.71
MAG-7Memento$3.51
P250Splash$22.21
P90Death by Kitty$75.56
Sawed-OffOrange DDPAT$15.38
BayonetBlue Steel$199.11
BayonetBoreal Forest$121.24
BayonetCase Hardened$242.10
BayonetCrimson Web$180.41
BayonetFade$476.61
BayonetForest DDPAT$125.36
BayonetNight$130.88
BayonetSafari Mesh$118.95
BayonetScorched$121.88
BayonetSlaughter$280.12
BayonetStained$143.53
BayonetUrban Masked$125.15
Flip KnifeBlue Steel$159.05
Flip KnifeBoreal Forest$111.73
Flip KnifeCase Hardened$160.90
Flip KnifeCrimson Web$186.22
Flip KnifeFade$399.22
Flip KnifeForest DDPAT$111.61
Flip KnifeNight$131.74
Flip KnifeSafari Mesh$113.42
Flip KnifeScorched$122.52
Flip KnifeSlaughter$262.00
Flip KnifeStained$130.62
Flip KnifeUrban Masked$119.59
Gut KnifeBlue Steel$64.85
Gut KnifeBoreal Forest$43.54
Gut KnifeCase Hardened$99.14
Gut KnifeCrimson Web$66.96
Gut KnifeFade$155.76
Gut KnifeForest DDPAT$42.89
Gut KnifeNight$46.79
Gut KnifeSafari Mesh$41.73
Gut KnifeScorched$44.70
Gut KnifeSlaughter$113.74
Gut KnifeStained$53.18
Gut KnifeUrban Masked$45.10
KarambitBlue Steel$743.79
KarambitBoreal Forest$404.14
KarambitCase Hardened$729.55
KarambitCrimson Web$640.63
KarambitFade$2.1K
KarambitForest DDPAT$396.84
KarambitNight$507.45
KarambitSafari Mesh$386.58
KarambitScorched$425.91
KarambitSlaughter$869.98
KarambitStained$546.46
KarambitUrban Masked$416.55
M9 BayonetBlue Steel$496.84
M9 BayonetBoreal Forest$283.91
M9 BayonetCase Hardened$486.82
M9 BayonetCrimson Web$436.49
M9 BayonetFade$1.2K
M9 BayonetForest DDPAT$282.31
M9 BayonetNight$354.49
M9 BayonetSafari Mesh$278.03
M9 BayonetScorched$285.51
M9 BayonetSlaughter$664.84
M9 BayonetStained$399.50
M9 BayonetUrban Masked$292.29
BayonetVanilla$226.99
Flip KnifeVanilla$175.55
Gut KnifeVanilla$57.83
KarambitVanilla$1.0K
M9 BayonetVanilla$694.57Opening the eSports 2013 Case
The eSports 2013 Case costs $44.80 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $47.29 per open. At live market prices it returns $14.01 on average, which is 30c back per dollar — an expected loss of $33.28 every time you open one.
It contains 9 weapon skins and 65 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $12.6K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.
CS2 Case Drop Rates
These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.
Already own skins?
Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.
What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the eSports 2013 Case worth opening?
At current market prices the eSports 2013 Case returns about $14.01 per open against a cost of $47.29 ($44.80 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 30c back per dollar, an expected loss of $33.28 every time you open one.
What are the odds in the eSports 2013 Case?
Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.
How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the eSports 2013 Case?
The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $12.6K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.
What is in the eSports 2013 Case?
The eSports 2013 Case contains 9 weapon skins plus 65 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.
Can I open the eSports 2013 Case for free?
Yes. This simulator opens the eSports 2013 Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.
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