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Operation Riptide Case Simulator

Open the Operation Riptide Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
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Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Operation Riptide Case
Operation Riptide Case

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What the Operation Riptide Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$11.47
Average return$20.66
Expected gain+$9.19
Return rate180.2%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$15.98$12.77
Restricted15.98%$30.12$4.81
Classified3.20%$22.49$0.72
Covert0.64%$137.62$0.88
Knife / Gloves0.26%$570.14$1.48

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $1.1K and returns about $2.1K on average — an expected loss of $919.43.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $3.1Kat this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Operation Riptide Case Contents47 items

AK-47 | Leet MuseoAK-47 | Leet Museo$207.42AUG | PlagueAUG | Plague$0.85Desert Eagle | Ocean DriveDesert Eagle | Ocean Drive$66.71Dual Berettas | TreadDual Berettas | Tread$0.88FAMAS | ZX SpectronFAMAS | ZX Spectron$3.21Five-SeveN | Boost ProtocolFive-SeveN | Boost Protocol$3.22G3SG1 | Keeping TabsG3SG1 | Keeping Tabs$0.86Glock-18 | Snack AttackGlock-18 | Snack Attack$15.54M4A4 | Spider LilyM4A4 | Spider Lily$7.78MAC-10 | ToyboxMAC-10 | Toybox$15.41MAG-7 | BI83 SpectrumMAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum$1.87MP7 | GuerrillaMP7 | Guerrilla$1.03MP9 | Mount FujiMP9 | Mount Fuji$5.65PP-Bizon | LumenPP-Bizon | Lumen$0.93SSG 08 | Turbo PeekSSG 08 | Turbo Peek$15.47USP-S | Black LotusUSP-S | Black Lotus$35.84XM1014 | WatchdogXM1014 | Watchdog$1.69
Special Items (0.26%)
Bowie Knife | AutotronicBowie Knife | Autotronic$79.30Bowie Knife | Black LaminateBowie Knife | Black Laminate$52.09Bowie Knife | Bright WaterBowie Knife | Bright Water$50.36Bowie Knife | FreehandBowie Knife | Freehand$61.03Bowie Knife | LoreBowie Knife | Lore$81.87Butterfly Knife | AutotronicButterfly Knife | Autotronic$890.96Butterfly Knife | Black LaminateButterfly Knife | Black Laminate$659.54Butterfly Knife | Bright WaterButterfly Knife | Bright Water$535.82Butterfly Knife | FreehandButterfly Knife | Freehand$599.68Butterfly Knife | LoreButterfly Knife | Lore$644.66Falchion Knife | AutotronicFalchion Knife | Autotronic$97.67Falchion Knife | Black LaminateFalchion Knife | Black Laminate$67.76Falchion Knife | Bright WaterFalchion Knife | Bright Water$64.26Falchion Knife | FreehandFalchion Knife | Freehand$72.20Falchion Knife | LoreFalchion Knife | Lore$94.21Huntsman Knife | AutotronicHuntsman Knife | Autotronic$104.65Huntsman Knife | Black LaminateHuntsman Knife | Black Laminate$62.80Huntsman Knife | Bright WaterHuntsman Knife | Bright Water$56.57Huntsman Knife | FreehandHuntsman Knife | Freehand$62.27Huntsman Knife | LoreHuntsman Knife | Lore$90.61Shadow Daggers | AutotronicShadow Daggers | Autotronic$47.91Shadow Daggers | Black LaminateShadow Daggers | Black Laminate$40.74Shadow Daggers | Bright WaterShadow Daggers | Bright Water$41.29Shadow Daggers | FreehandShadow Daggers | Freehand$44.72Shadow Daggers | LoreShadow Daggers | Lore$51.59Bowie Knife | Gamma DopplerBowie Knife | Gamma Doppler$710.47Butterfly Knife | Gamma DopplerButterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler$9.8KFalchion Knife | Gamma DopplerFalchion Knife | Gamma Doppler$691.88Huntsman Knife | Gamma DopplerHuntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler$744.74Shadow Daggers | Gamma DopplerShadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler$284.71
Operation Riptide Caseprices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Operation Riptide Case

The Operation Riptide Case costs $8.98 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $11.47 per open. At live market prices it returns $20.66 on average, which is 180c back per dollar — an expected gain of $9.19 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 30 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $3.1Kat this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Operation Riptide Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Operation Riptide Case returns about $20.66 per open against a cost of $11.47 ($8.98 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 180c back per dollar, an expected gain of $9.19 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Operation Riptide Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Operation Riptide Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $3.1K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Operation Riptide Case?

The Operation Riptide Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 30 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Operation Riptide Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Operation Riptide Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices