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Operation Riptide Case Simulator

Open the Operation Riptide Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
Operation Riptide Case
Operation Riptide Case

Press Space or click Open Case

Tap Open Case below

Opening it for real costs $10.37 with a key.
1x

What the Operation Riptide Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$10.37
Average return$5.24
Expected loss-$5.13
Return rate50.5%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$1.68$1.34
Restricted15.98%$6.24$1.00
Classified3.20%$22.48$0.72
Covert0.64%$148.12$0.95
Knife / Gloves0.26%$474.19$1.23

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $1.0K and returns about $524.07 on average — an expected loss of $512.93.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $2.8K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Operation Riptide Case Contents47 items

Covert0.64%2 items
AK-47 | Leet MuseoAK-47Leet Museo$181.45
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
AUG | PlagueAUGPlague$0.79
Covert0.64%2 items
Desert Eagle | Ocean DriveDesert EagleOcean Drive$61.39
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Dual Berettas | TreadDual BerettasTread$1.37
Restricted15.98%5 items
FAMAS | ZX SpectronFAMASZX Spectron$2.95Five-SeveN | Boost ProtocolFive-SeveNBoost Protocol$3.11
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
G3SG1 | Keeping TabsG3SG1Keeping Tabs$0.78
Classified3.20%3 items
Glock-18 | Snack AttackGlock-18Snack Attack$16.31
Restricted15.98%5 items
M4A4 | Spider LilyM4A4Spider Lily$7.30
Classified3.20%3 items
MAC-10 | ToyboxMAC-10Toybox$16.21
Restricted15.98%5 items
MAG-7 | BI83 SpectrumMAG-7BI83 Spectrum$1.94
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
MP7 | GuerrillaMP7Guerrilla$0.94
Restricted15.98%5 items
MP9 | Mount FujiMP9Mount Fuji$4.99
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
PP-Bizon | LumenPP-BizonLumen$0.88
Classified3.20%3 items
SSG 08 | Turbo PeekSSG 08Turbo Peek$15.24
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
USP-S | Black LotusUSP-SBlack Lotus$0.98XM1014 | WatchdogXM1014Watchdog$1.45
Knife / Gloves0.26%30 items
Bowie Knife | AutotronicBowie KnifeAutotronic$72.92Bowie Knife | Black LaminateBowie KnifeBlack Laminate$49.76Bowie Knife | Bright WaterBowie KnifeBright Water$46.99Bowie Knife | FreehandBowie KnifeFreehand$57.32Bowie Knife | LoreBowie KnifeLore$78.82Butterfly Knife | AutotronicButterfly KnifeAutotronic$770.13Butterfly Knife | Black LaminateButterfly KnifeBlack Laminate$595.80Butterfly Knife | Bright WaterButterfly KnifeBright Water$497.78Butterfly Knife | FreehandButterfly KnifeFreehand$553.68Butterfly Knife | LoreButterfly KnifeLore$616.18Falchion Knife | AutotronicFalchion KnifeAutotronic$91.81Falchion Knife | Black LaminateFalchion KnifeBlack Laminate$60.37Falchion Knife | Bright WaterFalchion KnifeBright Water$62.44Falchion Knife | FreehandFalchion KnifeFreehand$68.84Falchion Knife | LoreFalchion KnifeLore$90.43Huntsman Knife | AutotronicHuntsman KnifeAutotronic$93.85Huntsman Knife | Black LaminateHuntsman KnifeBlack Laminate$58.88Huntsman Knife | Bright WaterHuntsman KnifeBright Water$50.82Huntsman Knife | FreehandHuntsman KnifeFreehand$57.28Huntsman Knife | LoreHuntsman KnifeLore$86.10Shadow Daggers | AutotronicShadow DaggersAutotronic$45.16Shadow Daggers | Black LaminateShadow DaggersBlack Laminate$36.50Shadow Daggers | Bright WaterShadow DaggersBright Water$36.46Shadow Daggers | FreehandShadow DaggersFreehand$43.33Shadow Daggers | LoreShadow DaggersLore$49.20Bowie Knife | Gamma DopplerBowie KnifeGamma Doppler$752.78Butterfly Knife | Gamma DopplerButterfly KnifeGamma Doppler$7.9KFalchion Knife | Gamma DopplerFalchion KnifeGamma Doppler$619.37Huntsman Knife | Gamma DopplerHuntsman KnifeGamma Doppler$705.90Shadow Daggers | Gamma DopplerShadow DaggersGamma Doppler$310.19

Opening the Operation Riptide Case

The Operation Riptide Case costs $7.88 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $10.37 per open. At live market prices it returns $5.24 on average, which is 51c back per dollar — an expected loss of $5.13 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 30 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $2.8K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Operation Riptide Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Operation Riptide Case returns about $5.24 per open against a cost of $10.37 ($7.88 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 51c back per dollar, an expected loss of $5.13 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Operation Riptide Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Operation Riptide Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $2.8K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Operation Riptide Case?

The Operation Riptide Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 30 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Operation Riptide Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Operation Riptide Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices