Operation Riptide Case Simulator
Open the Operation Riptide Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.
What the Operation Riptide Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop
| Tier | Chance | Average value | Adds to return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | $1.68 | $1.34 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | $6.24 | $1.00 |
| Classified | 3.20% | $22.48 | $0.72 |
| Covert | 0.64% | $148.12 | $0.95 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | $474.19 | $1.23 |
Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.
Drop Rates
Your odds over multiple opens
A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.
100 opens costs $1.0K and returns about $524.07 on average — an expected loss of $512.93.
| Tier | Per open | At least one in 100 | Opens for a coin-flip |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 100.00% | 1 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 100.00% | 4 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 96.13% | 22 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 47.38% | 108 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | 22.92% | 267 |
A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $2.8K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.
Operation Riptide Case Contents47 items
AK-47Leet Museo$181.45
AUGPlague$0.79
Desert EagleOcean Drive$61.39
Dual BerettasTread$1.37
FAMASZX Spectron$2.95
Five-SeveNBoost Protocol$3.11
G3SG1Keeping Tabs$0.78
Glock-18Snack Attack$16.31
M4A4Spider Lily$7.30
MAC-10Toybox$16.21
MAG-7BI83 Spectrum$1.94
MP7Guerrilla$0.94
MP9Mount Fuji$4.99
PP-BizonLumen$0.88
SSG 08Turbo Peek$15.24
USP-SBlack Lotus$0.98
XM1014Watchdog$1.45
Bowie KnifeAutotronic$72.92
Bowie KnifeBlack Laminate$49.76
Bowie KnifeBright Water$46.99
Bowie KnifeFreehand$57.32
Bowie KnifeLore$78.82
Butterfly KnifeAutotronic$770.13
Butterfly KnifeBlack Laminate$595.80
Butterfly KnifeBright Water$497.78
Butterfly KnifeFreehand$553.68
Butterfly KnifeLore$616.18
Falchion KnifeAutotronic$91.81
Falchion KnifeBlack Laminate$60.37
Falchion KnifeBright Water$62.44
Falchion KnifeFreehand$68.84
Falchion KnifeLore$90.43
Huntsman KnifeAutotronic$93.85
Huntsman KnifeBlack Laminate$58.88
Huntsman KnifeBright Water$50.82
Huntsman KnifeFreehand$57.28
Huntsman KnifeLore$86.10
Shadow DaggersAutotronic$45.16
Shadow DaggersBlack Laminate$36.50
Shadow DaggersBright Water$36.46
Shadow DaggersFreehand$43.33
Shadow DaggersLore$49.20
Bowie KnifeGamma Doppler$752.78
Butterfly KnifeGamma Doppler$7.9K
Falchion KnifeGamma Doppler$619.37
Huntsman KnifeGamma Doppler$705.90
Shadow DaggersGamma Doppler$310.19Opening the Operation Riptide Case
The Operation Riptide Case costs $7.88 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $10.37 per open. At live market prices it returns $5.24 on average, which is 51c back per dollar — an expected loss of $5.13 every time you open one.
It contains 17 weapon skins and 30 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $2.8K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.
CS2 Case Drop Rates
These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.
Already own skins?
Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.
What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Operation Riptide Case worth opening?
At current market prices the Operation Riptide Case returns about $5.24 per open against a cost of $10.37 ($7.88 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 51c back per dollar, an expected loss of $5.13 every time you open one.
What are the odds in the Operation Riptide Case?
Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.
How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Operation Riptide Case?
The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $2.8K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.
What is in the Operation Riptide Case?
The Operation Riptide Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 30 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.
Can I open the Operation Riptide Case for free?
Yes. This simulator opens the Operation Riptide Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.
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