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Shattered Web Case Simulator

Open the Shattered Web Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
Luck—Too early to call
Shattered Web Case
Shattered Web Case

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Buy this case$3.72 — Shattered Web Case
Opening it for real costs $6.62 with a key.
1x

What the Shattered Web Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$6.62
Average return$3.26
Expected loss-$3.36
Return rate49.3%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$1.49$1.19
Restricted15.98%$3.99$0.64
Classified3.20%$21.39$0.68
Covert0.64%$66.75$0.43
Knife / Gloves0.26%$124.10$0.32

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $662.00 and returns about $326.16 on average — an expected loss of $335.84.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $1.8K at this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

Shattered Web Case Contents69 items

Restricted15.98%5 items
AK-47 | Rat RodAK-47Rat Rod$3.78AUG | Arctic WolfAUGArctic Wolf$1.52
Covert0.64%2 items
AWP | Containment BreachAWPContainment Breach$62.40
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Dual Berettas | BalanceDual BerettasBalance$1.51G3SG1 | Black SandG3SG1Black Sand$0.59M249 | WarbirdM249Warbird$0.64
Covert0.64%2 items
MAC-10 | StalkerMAC-10Stalker$35.55
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
MP5-SD | Acid WashMP5-SDAcid Wash$0.99
Restricted15.98%5 items
MP7 | Neon PlyMP7Neon Ply$2.38
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
Nova | PlumeNovaPlume$0.81
Restricted15.98%5 items
P2000 | ObsidianP2000Obsidian$1.88PP-Bizon | EmbargoPP-BizonEmbargo$1.88
Mil-Spec79.92%7 items
R8 Revolver | MementoR8 RevolverMemento$0.93SCAR-20 | TornSCAR-20Torn$0.66
Classified3.20%3 items
SG 553 | Colony IVSG 553Colony IV$7.77SSG 08 | BloodshotSSG 08Bloodshot$16.59Tec-9 | DecimatorTec-9Decimator$15.45
Knife / Gloves0.26%52 items
Nomad Knife | Blue SteelNomad KnifeBlue Steel$133.10Nomad Knife | Boreal ForestNomad KnifeBoreal Forest$71.00Nomad Knife | Case HardenedNomad KnifeCase Hardened$149.60Nomad Knife | Crimson WebNomad KnifeCrimson Web$150.94Nomad Knife | FadeNomad KnifeFade$322.93Nomad Knife | Forest DDPATNomad KnifeForest DDPAT$69.96Nomad Knife | Night StripeNomad KnifeNight Stripe$87.68Nomad Knife | Safari MeshNomad KnifeSafari Mesh$70.06Nomad Knife | ScorchedNomad KnifeScorched$81.97Nomad Knife | SlaughterNomad KnifeSlaughter$218.55Nomad Knife | StainedNomad KnifeStained$113.73Nomad Knife | Urban MaskedNomad KnifeUrban Masked$92.12Nomad Knife | VanillaNomad KnifeVanilla$125.97Paracord Knife | Blue SteelParacord KnifeBlue Steel$70.07Paracord Knife | Boreal ForestParacord KnifeBoreal Forest$42.89Paracord Knife | Case HardenedParacord KnifeCase Hardened$96.30Paracord Knife | Crimson WebParacord KnifeCrimson Web$80.92Paracord Knife | FadeParacord KnifeFade$230.22Paracord Knife | Forest DDPATParacord KnifeForest DDPAT$42.22Paracord Knife | Night StripeParacord KnifeNight Stripe$47.69Paracord Knife | Safari MeshParacord KnifeSafari Mesh$38.59Paracord Knife | ScorchedParacord KnifeScorched$43.76Paracord Knife | SlaughterParacord KnifeSlaughter$121.67Paracord Knife | StainedParacord KnifeStained$53.54Paracord Knife | Urban MaskedParacord KnifeUrban Masked$47.42Paracord Knife | VanillaParacord KnifeVanilla$48.60Skeleton Knife | Blue SteelSkeleton KnifeBlue Steel$207.05Skeleton Knife | Boreal ForestSkeleton KnifeBoreal Forest$116.65Skeleton Knife | Case HardenedSkeleton KnifeCase Hardened$237.73Skeleton Knife | Crimson WebSkeleton KnifeCrimson Web$271.25Skeleton Knife | FadeSkeleton KnifeFade$542.33Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPATSkeleton KnifeForest DDPAT$114.16Skeleton Knife | Night StripeSkeleton KnifeNight Stripe$141.49Skeleton Knife | Safari MeshSkeleton KnifeSafari Mesh$113.91Skeleton Knife | ScorchedSkeleton KnifeScorched$128.35Skeleton Knife | SlaughterSkeleton KnifeSlaughter$406.55Skeleton Knife | StainedSkeleton KnifeStained$171.59Skeleton Knife | Urban MaskedSkeleton KnifeUrban Masked$135.18Skeleton Knife | VanillaSkeleton KnifeVanilla$216.72Survival Knife | Blue SteelSurvival KnifeBlue Steel$61.66Survival Knife | Boreal ForestSurvival KnifeBoreal Forest$42.31Survival Knife | Case HardenedSurvival KnifeCase Hardened$82.69Survival Knife | Crimson WebSurvival KnifeCrimson Web$85.49Survival Knife | FadeSurvival KnifeFade$186.53Survival Knife | Forest DDPATSurvival KnifeForest DDPAT$39.69Survival Knife | Night StripeSurvival KnifeNight Stripe$47.96Survival Knife | Safari MeshSurvival KnifeSafari Mesh$39.72Survival Knife | ScorchedSurvival KnifeScorched$43.38Survival Knife | SlaughterSurvival KnifeSlaughter$123.71Survival Knife | StainedSurvival KnifeStained$53.34Survival Knife | Urban MaskedSurvival KnifeUrban Masked$48.02Survival Knife | VanillaSurvival KnifeVanilla$46.98
Shattered Web Case prices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the Shattered Web Case

The Shattered Web Case costs $4.13 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $6.62 per open. At live market prices it returns $3.26 on average, which is 49c back per dollar — an expected loss of $3.36 every time you open one.

It contains 17 weapon skins and 52 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.8K at this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Already own skins?

Unboxing is the most expensive way to get a skin — the panel above is that arithmetic. Selling what you already have is the other direction, and these marketplaces buy skins outright, grouped by what the money actually is, because the two kinds are not comparable.

Pays cashMoney out, to a payment method you choose.
Pays site creditBalance on that site, to spend there. It usually reads higher than a cash offer for the same skin, which is why the two are not ranked against each other.

What any of them pays depends on the item. Open a skin's page — every item in the grid above links to its own — for that skin's live payouts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the Shattered Web Case worth opening?

At current market prices the Shattered Web Case returns about $3.26 per open against a cost of $6.62 ($4.13 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 49c back per dollar, an expected loss of $3.36 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the Shattered Web Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Shattered Web Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.8K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the Shattered Web Case?

The Shattered Web Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 52 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the Shattered Web Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the Shattered Web Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices