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CS:GO Weapon Case Simulator

Open the CS:GO Weapon Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.

Free Real Odds No Gambling
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Won$0.00
Profit+$0.00
ROI+0.0%
CS:GO Weapon Case
CS:GO Weapon Case

Press Space or click Open Case

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What the CS:GO Weapon Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop

Cost per open$114.33
Average return$120.26
Expected gain+$5.93
Return rate105.2%
Expected value contribution by rarity tier
TierChanceAverage valueAdds to return
Mil-Spec79.92%$64.33$51.41
Restricted15.98%$237.48$37.95
Classified3.20%$730.00$23.36
Covert0.64%$1.0K$6.66
Knife / Gloves0.26%$336.26$0.87

Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.

Drop Rates

Mil-Spec79.92%
Restricted15.98%
Classified3.20%
Covert0.64%
Knife/Gloves0.26%

Your odds over multiple opens

A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.

100 opens costs $11.4K and returns about $12.0K on average — an expected loss of $592.53.

Chance of at least one drop of each tier within 100 opens
TierPer openAt least one in 100Opens for a coin-flip
Mil-Spec79.92%100.00%1
Restricted15.98%100.00%4
Classified3.20%96.13%22
Covert0.64%47.38%108
Knife / Gloves0.26%22.92%267

A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $30.5Kat this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.

CS:GO Weapon Case Contents69 items

AK-47 | Case HardenedAK-47 | Case Hardened$283.29AUG | WingsAUG | Wings$12.82AWP | Lightning StrikeAWP | Lightning Strike$583.58Desert Eagle | HypnoticDesert Eagle | Hypnotic$195.38Glock-18 | Dragon TattooGlock-18 | Dragon Tattoo$125.19M4A1-S | Dark WaterM4A1-S | Dark Water$63.54MP7 | SkullsMP7 | Skulls$12.99SG 553 | UltravioletSG 553 | Ultraviolet$12.02USP-S | Dark WaterUSP-S | Dark Water$64.33
Special Items (0.26%)
Bayonet | Blue SteelBayonet | Blue Steel$213.35Bayonet | Boreal ForestBayonet | Boreal Forest$124.44Bayonet | Case HardenedBayonet | Case Hardened$239.14Bayonet | Crimson WebBayonet | Crimson Web$189.62Bayonet | FadeBayonet | Fade$462.97Bayonet | Forest DDPATBayonet | Forest DDPAT$123.44Bayonet | NightBayonet | Night$134.54Bayonet | Safari MeshBayonet | Safari Mesh$122.68Bayonet | ScorchedBayonet | Scorched$127.27Bayonet | SlaughterBayonet | Slaughter$295.88Bayonet | StainedBayonet | Stained$148.93Bayonet | Urban MaskedBayonet | Urban Masked$128.97Flip Knife | Blue SteelFlip Knife | Blue Steel$170.43Flip Knife | Boreal ForestFlip Knife | Boreal Forest$117.35Flip Knife | Case HardenedFlip Knife | Case Hardened$157.50Flip Knife | Crimson WebFlip Knife | Crimson Web$182.87Flip Knife | FadeFlip Knife | Fade$363.21Flip Knife | Forest DDPATFlip Knife | Forest DDPAT$115.71Flip Knife | NightFlip Knife | Night$126.89Flip Knife | Safari MeshFlip Knife | Safari Mesh$115.04Flip Knife | ScorchedFlip Knife | Scorched$131.77Flip Knife | SlaughterFlip Knife | Slaughter$264.96Flip Knife | StainedFlip Knife | Stained$130.08Flip Knife | Urban MaskedFlip Knife | Urban Masked$122.52Gut Knife | Blue SteelGut Knife | Blue Steel$67.04Gut Knife | Boreal ForestGut Knife | Boreal Forest$44.94Gut Knife | Case HardenedGut Knife | Case Hardened$92.49Gut Knife | Crimson WebGut Knife | Crimson Web$79.40Gut Knife | FadeGut Knife | Fade$192.37Gut Knife | Forest DDPATGut Knife | Forest DDPAT$45.98Gut Knife | NightGut Knife | Night$49.77Gut Knife | Safari MeshGut Knife | Safari Mesh$45.80Gut Knife | ScorchedGut Knife | Scorched$46.82Gut Knife | SlaughterGut Knife | Slaughter$113.22Gut Knife | StainedGut Knife | Stained$58.16Gut Knife | Urban MaskedGut Knife | Urban Masked$48.18Karambit | Blue SteelKarambit | Blue Steel$779.62Karambit | Boreal ForestKarambit | Boreal Forest$412.44Karambit | Case HardenedKarambit | Case Hardened$742.60Karambit | Crimson WebKarambit | Crimson Web$652.39Karambit | FadeKarambit | Fade$2.1KKarambit | Forest DDPATKarambit | Forest DDPAT$402.59Karambit | NightKarambit | Night$508.67Karambit | Safari MeshKarambit | Safari Mesh$394.73Karambit | ScorchedKarambit | Scorched$434.53Karambit | SlaughterKarambit | Slaughter$941.53Karambit | StainedKarambit | Stained$575.83Karambit | Urban MaskedKarambit | Urban Masked$432.62M9 Bayonet | Blue SteelM9 Bayonet | Blue Steel$517.69M9 Bayonet | Boreal ForestM9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest$290.54M9 Bayonet | Case HardenedM9 Bayonet | Case Hardened$552.64M9 Bayonet | Crimson WebM9 Bayonet | Crimson Web$468.79M9 Bayonet | FadeM9 Bayonet | Fade$1.3KM9 Bayonet | Forest DDPATM9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT$290.66M9 Bayonet | NightM9 Bayonet | Night$346.49M9 Bayonet | Safari MeshM9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh$286.24M9 Bayonet | ScorchedM9 Bayonet | Scorched$304.80M9 Bayonet | SlaughterM9 Bayonet | Slaughter$677.11M9 Bayonet | StainedM9 Bayonet | Stained$409.40M9 Bayonet | Urban MaskedM9 Bayonet | Urban Masked$312.30
CS:GO Weapon Caseprices & history Trade-up calculator How CS2 case odds work

Opening the CS:GO Weapon Case

The CS:GO Weapon Case costs $111.84 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $114.33 per open. At live market prices it returns $120.26 on average, which is 105c back per dollar — an expected gain of $5.93 every time you open one.

It contains 9 weapon skins and 60 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $30.5Kat this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.

CS2 Case Drop Rates

Mil-Spec (Blue)79.92%
Restricted (Purple)15.98%
Classified (Pink)3.20%
Covert (Red)0.64%
Knife / Gloves (Gold)0.26%

These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the CS:GO Weapon Case worth opening?

At current market prices the CS:GO Weapon Case returns about $120.26 per open against a cost of $114.33 ($111.84 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 105c back per dollar, an expected gain of $5.93 every time you open one.

What are the odds in the CS:GO Weapon Case?

Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.

How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the CS:GO Weapon Case?

The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $30.5K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.

What is in the CS:GO Weapon Case?

The CS:GO Weapon Case contains 9 weapon skins plus 60 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.

Can I open the CS:GO Weapon Case for free?

Yes. This simulator opens the CS:GO Weapon Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.

Open another case

Every case has its own simulator page with that case's pool, odds and expected value at current prices.

Related: CS2 case odds explained · Case opening ROI · Trade-up calculator · All case prices