Prisma 2 Case Simulator
Open the Prisma 2 Case free at real Valve drop rates, priced from live market data.
What the Prisma 2 Case is actually worthLive market prices, all wears weighted by how often they drop
| Tier | Chance | Average value | Adds to return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | $2.93 | $2.35 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | $83.45 | $13.34 |
| Classified | 3.20% | $9.08 | $0.29 |
| Covert | 0.64% | $80.88 | $0.52 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | $262.67 | $0.68 |
Every case returns less than it costs — that gap is Valve's margin. Buying the skin you want on the open market is cheaper than unboxing it, every time. See our case opening ROI guide for the full breakdown.
Drop Rates
Your odds over multiple opens
A 0.26% knife chance is hard to picture. This is the same number stated the way it is actually experienced — the chance of at least one, over a run of opens.
100 opens costs $377.00 and returns about $1.7K on average — an expected loss of $1.3K.
| Tier | Per open | At least one in 100 | Opens for a coin-flip |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 100.00% | 1 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 100.00% | 4 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 96.13% | 22 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 47.38% | 108 |
| Knife / Gloves | 0.26% | 22.92% | 267 |
A coin-flip shot at a knife takes 267 opens — about $1.0Kat this case's price. Even then it is a coin flip, not a guarantee: the odds never carry over between opens. More in our CS2 case odds guide.
Prisma 2 Case Contents41 items
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor$5.67
AUG | Tom Cat$0.32
AWP | Capillary$0.66
CZ75-Auto | Distressed$0.26
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply$41.74
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen$56.69
M4A1-S | Player Two$55.21
MAC-10 | Disco Tech$5.68
MAG-7 | Justice$5.59
MP5-SD | Desert Strike$0.27
Negev | Prototype$0.28
P2000 | Acid Etched$0.61
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged$0.30
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto$0.62
SCAR-20 | Enforcer$0.61
SG 553 | Darkwing$0.63
SSG 08 | Fever Dream$1.4K
Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel$42.28
Navaja Knife | Marble Fade$128.28
Navaja Knife | Rust Coat$51.01
Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth$97.50
Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet$47.51
Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel$192.59
Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade$353.52
Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat$155.80
Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth$344.60
Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet$165.18
Talon Knife | Damascus Steel$314.58
Talon Knife | Marble Fade$622.89
Talon Knife | Rust Coat$290.76
Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth$516.69
Talon Knife | Ultraviolet$277.46
Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel$78.56
Ursus Knife | Marble Fade$203.46
Ursus Knife | Rust Coat$78.03
Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth$161.99
Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet$89.32
Navaja Knife | Doppler$182.32
Stiletto Knife | Doppler$733.43
Talon Knife | Doppler$1.1K
Ursus Knife | Doppler$352.43Opening the Prisma 2 Case
The Prisma 2 Case costs $1.28 for the container plus a $2.49 key — $3.77 per open. At live market prices it returns $17.17 on average, which is 455c back per dollar — an expected gain of $13.40 every time you open one.
It contains 17 weapon skins and 24 special items — knives or gloves — in the 0.26% gold slot. Reaching an even-odds chance at that gold slot takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.0Kat this case's current price. Every skin in the pool is listed above with its live price, and you can open the case as many times as you like here without spending anything.
CS2 Case Drop Rates
These odds are the same for every weapon case. They do not improve with streaks and they do not carry over — each open is independent, which is why a run of bad luck never makes the next open more likely to pay.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Prisma 2 Case worth opening?
At current market prices the Prisma 2 Case returns about $17.17 per open against a cost of $3.77 ($1.28 for the case plus a $2.49 key). That is 455c back per dollar, an expected gain of $13.40 every time you open one.
What are the odds in the Prisma 2 Case?
Valve confirmed drop rates: Mil-Spec (Blue) 79.92%, Restricted (Purple) 15.98%, Classified (Pink) 3.20%, Covert (Red) 0.64%, Special/Knife/Gloves (Gold) 0.26%. StatTrak has a 10% chance on any weapon skin — gloves have no StatTrak version.
How much does it cost to unbox a knife from the Prisma 2 Case?
The gold slot is 0.26% per open. A 50% chance of hitting one takes about 267 opens, roughly $1.0K at this case’s current price — and that is still a coin flip, not a guarantee.
What is in the Prisma 2 Case?
The Prisma 2 Case contains 17 weapon skins plus 24 rare special items (knives or gloves) in the gold slot. Every item is listed below with its live market price.
Can I open the Prisma 2 Case for free?
Yes. This simulator opens the Prisma 2 Case with real Valve drop rates and live prices, as many times as you like, with no money and no signup. It is a simulator — items are not added to your Steam inventory.
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