Winter Offensive Weapon Case Skins

The Winter Offensive Weapon Case contains 13 weapon skins across 13 weapons and 65 rare knife/glove drops. By rarity: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 4 Restricted, 4 Mil-Spec. The Covert skins are M4A4 | Asiimov and Sawed-Off | The Kraken.

The most expensive regular skin from the Winter Offensive Weapon Case is the M4A4 | Asiimov, currently priced at $189.05 in Factory New. Among rare special items, knives and gloves can sell for significantly more — check the Rare Special Items section above for current prices.

The Winter Offensive Weapon Case can drop 65 rare special items including Karambit | Crimson Web, M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT, Karambit | Fade, Bayonet | Crimson Web, Karambit | Night, Karambit | Case Hardened, M9 Bayonet | Night and 57 more. These have approximately a 0.26% chance of dropping per opening.

The most affordable skin from the Winter Offensive Weapon Case is the M249 | Magma, starting at around $3.12 in Factory New. Mil-Spec grade skins are the most common drops and typically the most affordable.

Opening the Winter Offensive Weapon Case requires the case itself (~$9.56) plus a key ($2.49 on Steam). The total cost is approximately $12.05. Most openings return Mil-Spec or Industrial skins worth less than the opening cost, but rare Covert or knife drops can be worth many times more.

Statistically, no: based on Valve's drop odds and live prices across 40+ marketplaces, one Winter Offensive Weapon Case opening costs $12.05 (case + key) and returns $5.43 in expected value — an expected return of -54.9%. Rare drops are why people open anyway: the top Covert skin (M4A4 | Asiimov) is worth ~$189.05. See the Unboxing Odds & ROI section above for the full breakdown.

Compare Winter Offensive Weapon Case prices across 40+ marketplaces on SteamAnalyst. Third-party markets like Skinport, BUFF163, and CSFloat often offer cases at lower prices than the Steam Community Market due to reduced fees. Prices can vary 10-30% between platforms.