Operation Vanguard Weapon Case Skins
Browse all 14 weapon skins and 65 rare items from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. Part of the The Vanguard Collection. Compare prices across 40+ marketplaces and find the best deals.
Covert (2)0.640% · 0.320% each
Classified (3)3.20% · 1.07% each
Restricted (4)15.98% · 4.00% each
Mil-Spec (5)79.92% · 15.98% each
Rare Special Items (65)
These knives and gloves have a 0.26% chance of dropping when opening the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case — 0.0040% for any specific one.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What skins are in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case contains 14 weapon skins across 14 weapons and 65 rare knife/glove drops. By rarity: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 4 Restricted, 5 Mil-Spec. The Covert skins are AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel and P2000 | Fire Elemental.
What is the most expensive skin in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The most expensive regular skin from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is the AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel, currently priced at $362.07 in Factory New. Among rare special items, knives and gloves can sell for significantly more — check the Rare Special Items section above for current prices.
What knives can you get from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case can drop 65 rare special items including Karambit | Crimson Web, M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, Bayonet | Crimson Web, Karambit | Fade, Karambit | Night, Karambit | Case Hardened, M9 Bayonet | Night, Flip Knife | Crimson Web and 57 more. These have approximately a 0.26% chance of dropping per opening.
What is the cheapest skin in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The most affordable skin from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is the G3SG1 | Murky, starting at around $1.86 in Factory New. Mil-Spec grade skins are the most common drops and typically the most affordable.
How much does the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case cost to open?
Opening the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case requires the case itself (~$4.71) plus a key ($2.49 on Steam). The total cost is approximately $7.20. Most openings return Mil-Spec or Industrial skins worth less than the opening cost, but rare Covert or knife drops can be worth many times more.
Is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case worth opening in 2026?
Statistically, no: based on Valve's drop odds and live prices across 40+ marketplaces, one Operation Vanguard Weapon Case opening costs $7.20 (case + key) and returns $4.07 in expected value — an expected return of -43.4%. Rare drops are why people open anyway: the top Covert skin (AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel) is worth ~$362.07. See the Unboxing Odds & ROI section above for the full breakdown.
Where is the cheapest place to buy the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
Compare Operation Vanguard Weapon Case prices across 40+ marketplaces on SteamAnalyst. Third-party markets like Skinport, BUFF163, and CSFloat often offer cases at lower prices than the Steam Community Market due to reduced fees. Prices can vary 10-30% between platforms.