Worst CS2 Skins to Buy Right Now — Falling and Hard to Sell
Prices sliding, and thin enough trading that leaving means cutting the price. A falling market you can walk out of is a bad entry; a falling market you cannot is something else, and this list separates the two.
Showing 50 of 75 ranked items, re-sorted within the 1,200-item candidate pool.
| # | Item | Verdict | 7d | 30d | Liquidity | Sell in | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ESL One Cologne 2015 Challengers | Weak entry20hard to exit | ▼ -2.6% | ▲ +24.8% | Rarely Traded | ~6 months | $44 |
| 2 |  London 2018 Nuke Package | Weak entry20hard to exit | ▲ +10.5% | ▲ +5.3% | Rarely Traded | ~4 months | $37 |
| 3 |  Collectible Pins Capsule Series 3 | Weak entry21no way out | ▲ +0.2% | ▼ -6.8% | Slow Mover | ~6 days | $6.40 |
| 4 |  Autograph Capsule | Ninjas in Pyjamas | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry21medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +6.2% | ▼ -1.4% | Rarely Traded | ~7 months | $12 |
| 5 |  Deluge Music Kit BoxST | Weak entry21hard to exit | ▲ +4.5% | ▲ +1.4% | Rarely Traded | ~1 month | $6.52 |
| 6 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Cache Package | Weak entry21hard to exit | ▲ +1.6% | ▲ +21.3% | Rarely Traded | ~3 months | $88 |
| 7 |  Autograph Capsule | Team Liquid | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry21122% of the week was yesterday · hard to exit | ▲ +9.9% | ▲ +9.1% | Rarely Traded | ~9 months | $14 |
| 8 |  NIGHTMODE Music Kit BoxST | Weak entry22hard to exit | ▲ +4.6% | ▲ +1.7% | Rarely Traded | ~2 weeks | $6.57 |
| 9 |  Boston 2018 Train Package | Weak entry22hard to exit | ▼ -11.4% | ▲ +25.8% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $48 |
| 10 |  DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Challengers | Weak entry22hard to exit | ▲ +16.1% | ▲ +2.2% | Rarely Traded | ~6 months | $61 |
| 11 |  Boston 2018 Legends (Holo-Foil) | Weak entry22medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +18.9% | ▼ -0.6% | Rarely Traded | ~3 months | $250 |
| 12 |  Boston 2018 Legends Autograph Capsule | Weak entry23hard to exit | ▼ -5.6% | ▲ +17.6% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $114 |
| 13 |  Autograph Capsule | Team Liquid | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry23hard to exit | ▼ -2.7% | ▲ +13.4% | Rarely Traded | No flow | $20 |
| 14 |  Berlin 2019 Nuke Package | Weak entry23hard to exit | ▲ +1.0% | ▲ +7.9% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $17 |
| 15 |  Autograph Capsule | Flipsid3 Tactics | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry23hard to exit | ▲ +14.1% | ▲ +7.0% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $19 |
| 16 |  DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry23medium confidence98% of the week was yesterday · hard to exit | ▲ +12.5% | ▲ +10.3% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $12,184 |
| 17 |  Autograph Capsule | Legends | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry24hard to exit | ▲ +5.4% | ▲ +1.9% | Rarely Traded | ~10 months | $30 |
| 18 |  ESL One Cologne 2015 Inferno Package | Weak entry24hard to exit | ▲ +17.4% | ▲ +6.4% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $78 |
| 19 |  Autograph Capsule | Challengers | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry25hard to exit | ▲ +8.4% | ▼ -1.6% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $53 |
| 20 |  Autograph Capsule | Legends | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry25hard to exit | ▲ +2.2% | ▲ +7.8% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $74 |
| 21 |  Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry25hard to exit | ▲ +6.5% | ▲ +25.8% | Rarely Traded | ~6 months | $8.62 |
| 22 |  ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry26medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +5.6% | ▲ +2.8% | Rarely Traded | ~5 months | $747 |
| 23 |  DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Overpass Package | Weak entry26medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +4.2% | ▲ +5.2% | Rarely Traded | ~3 months | $170 |
| 24 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry26medium confidence72% of the week was yesterday · hard to exit | ▲ +14.2% | ▲ +18.2% | Rarely Traded | ~9 months | $946 |
| 25 |  Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry27hard to exit | 0% | ▲ +11.8% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $10 |
| 26 |  Autograph Capsule | Team EnVyUs | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry27medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +14.8% | ▼ -10.1% | Rarely Traded | No flow | $17 |
| 27 |  DreamHack 2014 Dust II Package | Weak entry27medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +17.4% | ▲ +15.3% | Rarely Traded | ~5 months | $646 |
| 28 |  Stockholm 2021 Nuke Package | Weak entry27hard to exit | ▲ +17.1% | ▲ +17.1% | Rarely Traded | ~4 weeks | $5.15 |
| 29 |  Autograph Capsule | Astralis | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry28medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +3.9% | ▲ +38.1% | Rarely Traded | ~3 months | $21 |
| 30 |  Autograph Capsule | G2 Esports | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry28medium confidencehard to exit | ▼ -15.0% | ▲ +67.4% | Rarely Traded | ~8 months | $46 |
| 31 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Dust II Package | Weak entry29medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +7.7% | ▲ +1.8% | Rarely Traded | ~4 months | $133 |
| 32 |  Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry30hard to exit | ▼ -0.7% | ▲ +1.2% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $738 |
| 33 |  Autograph Capsule | GODSENT | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry30hard to exit | ▲ +0.7% | ▼ -0.7% | Rarely Traded | ~11 months | $9.47 |
| 34 |  ESL One Cologne 2014 Inferno Package | Weak entry30medium confidencehard to exit | ▼ -6.5% | ▲ +10.3% | Rarely Traded | ~6 months | $423 |
| 35 |  ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage Package | Weak entry30hard to exit | ▲ +10.3% | ▼ -1.4% | Rarely Traded | ~4 months | $85 |
| 36 |  Autograph Capsule | Flipsid3 Tactics | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry30hard to exit | ▼ -0.1% | ▲ +14.3% | Rarely Traded | ~3 months | $23 |
| 37 |  Boston 2018 Minor Challengers (Holo-Foil) | Weak entry30medium confidencehard to exit | ▼ -2.6% | ▲ +55.0% | Rarely Traded | ~6 months | $205 |
| 38 |  Autograph Capsule | FaZe Clan | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry30medium confidence120% of the week was yesterday · hard to exit | ▲ +24.1% | ▲ +17.0% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $20 |
| 39 |  Autograph Capsule | Team EnVyUs | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry31hard to exit | ▼ -4.4% | ▲ +7.7% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $6.03 |
| 40 |  Autograph Capsule | Cloud9 | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry31medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +0.8% | Rarely Traded | ~4 months | $40 |
| 41 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Overpass Package | Weak entry31medium confidencehard to exit | 0% | ▲ +1.3% | Rarely Traded | No flow | $209 |
| 42 |  DreamHack 2014 Overpass Package | Weak entry31medium confidencehard to exit | ▲ +20.3% | ▲ +23.3% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $991 |
| 43 |  Autograph Capsule | mousesports | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry32hard to exit | ▲ +1.8% | ▼ -0.5% | Rarely Traded | ~5 months | $34 |
| 44 |  London 2018 Returning Challengers (Holo-Foil) | Weak entry32hard to exit | ▼ -1.3% | ▲ +4.3% | Rarely Traded | ~1 month | $20 |
| 45 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Inferno Package | Weak entry32hard to exit | ▲ +4.7% | ▲ +8.2% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $135 |
| 46 |  Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry33hard to exit | ▼ -1.7% | ▲ +5.3% | Rarely Traded | a year+ | $6.79 |
| 47 |  DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry33hard to exit | ▼ -2.0% | ▲ +5.7% | Rarely Traded | ~10 months | $810 |
| 48 |  ESL One Katowice 2015 Cache Package | Weak entry33medium confidencehard to exit | ▼ -0.5% | ▲ +3.7% | Rarely Traded | ~12 months | $120 |
| 49 |  Autograph Capsule | Astralis | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry33hard to exit | ▼ -4.7% | ▲ +10.1% | Rarely Traded | ~4 months | $12 |
| 50 |  Boston 2018 Inferno Package | Weak entry33hard to exit | ▲ +4.2% | ▲ +9.6% | Rarely Traded | ~2 months | $23 |
How these ratings are reached
Momentum sets the rating
The 7-day change in the SteamAnalyst reference price at 60%, plus the 30-day change at 40%. Signed, so a week that contradicts its month damps itself instead of both being reported as good news. Above 8% blended is the top band; below -8% is the bottom one.
Liquidity can only pull it down
Measured from units actually traded over 30 days, not from price or popularity. Thin trading caps how well an item can rate however hard it is climbing, because you cannot realise a gain you cannot exit. Nothing about being easy to sell ever raises a rating — that would make this a volume ranking wearing a buy label.
Falling and illiquid is worse than either
On the way down the rule inverts. A falling price in a deep market is a bad entry you can still walk away from; a falling price with nobody trading is a trap, and it rates below the thing you can leave. The two sides are not mirror images and are not calculated as if they were.
What we leave out
Items with fewer than 20 recorded prices in the window, feeds that have not updated in 7 days, items without the 10 trading days needed to rate liquidity, and anything under $5 where a one-cent tick is a percentage point. Each is us declining to guess, not a judgement on the item.
Band boundaries are currently reasoned rather than fitted to the live distribution — they are an informed judgement about how this market moves, not a measurement of it. See the liquidity board for the trade-flow half on its own, or price trends for the price half.
Measurements, not advice. Nothing here predicts the future, and no indicator anticipates a game update, a tournament or a Steam sale. Never spend more than you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked questions
How do you decide which CS2 skins are best to buy?
Two readings, and neither is allowed to speak alone. The first is momentum: how the SteamAnalyst reference price has moved over the last 7 days, weighted against the last 30 so a one-week jump has to be confirmed by the month before it counts. The second is liquidity: whether the item actually trades, measured from real units changing hands over 30 days. Momentum sets the rating and liquidity can only pull it down — because a skin climbing 20% a week is worth nothing to you if there is no way to sell it again.
Why can an item rising fast still rate badly?
Because you have to be able to get back out. A rising price in a market where almost nothing trades is a number on a screen, not money — you would be buying into something with no buyers behind it. Thin trading caps how well an item can rate no matter how hard it is climbing, and an item that rarely trades at all cannot rate above "Weak entry".
What makes an item one of the worst to buy?
A falling price plus a market you cannot leave. Those two are worse together than either is alone: a falling price in a deep market is just a bad entry, since you can still sell. A falling price with nobody trading is a trap. So on the "worst to buy" list, thin trading pushes an item further down rather than merely capping it — the reverse of how it works on the buy side.
What is momentum and how is it calculated?
The 7-day price change weighted at 60%, plus the 30-day change at 40%. Signed, so the two argue with each other: a week up 10% inside a month down 10% blends to about +2% and lands in Neutral, which is the honest reading of a bounce inside a decline. An item needs roughly 8% blended momentum for the top band and 3% for the second.
Why does a big one-day jump not put an item at the top?
Because a week carried by its last day is a spike, not a trend — and it is the thing a momentum ranking gets wrong most often, sorting yesterday's jump to the top on the morning it is least likely to continue. When more than 50% of the week's move happened in the final day, the item cannot claim the top band and the row says so.
Where do the price changes come from?
The SteamAnalyst reference price — the same aggregate price shown in the price column here and on every skin page. That is deliberate: the percentage this page ranks on is the percentage the price beside it actually moved, and clicking through to the skin shows the same number. Three surfaces, one measurement.
Why is my skin missing from this list?
One of four reasons, and each is us declining to guess rather than a judgement on the item. We hold fewer than 20 recorded prices for it in the window; its price or trade data has not updated in over 7 days; we have not recorded the 10 trading days needed to rate its liquidity at all; or it is under $5, where a one-cent tick is a whole percentage point and the ranking would be measuring rounding rather than the market.
Is this financial advice?
No. It is a measurement of two things — where a price has been, and how readily the item trades — presented so you can see both and disagree with the conclusion. Neither predicts the future. Game updates, tournament demand and Steam sales all move this market in ways no indicator anticipates. Never spend more than you can afford to lose.