Falchion Case Skins

The Falchion Case contains 16 weapon skins across 16 weapons and 13 rare knife/glove drops. By rarity: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 6 Mil-Spec. The Covert skins are AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge and AWP | Hyper Beast.

The most expensive regular skin from the Falchion Case is the AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge, currently priced at $194.93 in Factory New. Among rare special items, knives and gloves can sell for significantly more — check the Rare Special Items section above for current prices.

The Falchion Case can drop 13 rare special items including Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT, Falchion Knife | Crimson Web, Falchion Knife | Scorched, Falchion Knife | Night, Falchion Knife | Case Hardened, Falchion Knife | Blue Steel, Falchion Knife | Stained, Falchion Knife | Fade and 5 more. These have approximately a 0.26% chance of dropping per opening.

The most affordable skin from the Falchion Case is the UMP-45 | Riot, starting at around $0.64 in Factory New. Mil-Spec grade skins are the most common drops and typically the most affordable.

Opening the Falchion Case requires the case itself (~$1.51) plus a key ($2.49 on Steam). The total cost is approximately $4.00. Most openings return Mil-Spec or Industrial skins worth less than the opening cost, but rare Covert or knife drops can be worth many times more.

Statistically, no: based on Valve's drop odds and live prices across 40+ marketplaces, one Falchion Case opening costs $4.00 (case + key) and returns $1.83 in expected value — an expected return of -54.2%. Rare drops are why people open anyway: the top Covert skin (AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge) is worth ~$194.93. See the Unboxing Odds & ROI section above for the full breakdown.

Compare Falchion Case prices across 40+ marketplaces on SteamAnalyst. Third-party markets like Skinport, BUFF163, and CSFloat often offer cases at lower prices than the Steam Community Market due to reduced fees. Prices can vary 10-30% between platforms.