How to Trade Up to SSG 08 | Death's Head
SSG 08 | Death's Head drops from Operation Hydra Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 20% 1 in 5
- Contract cost from
- $32.50 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $18.04 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -44.5% $-14.46 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Well-Worn SSG 08 | Death's Head costs $18.64 outright, against $32.50 for a contract with a 20% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Operation Hydra Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 20% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at SSG 08 | Death's Head specifically.
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers
MAG-7 | Hard Water
FAMAS | Macabre
FAMAS | Macabre
Tec-9 | Cut Out
USP-S | Blueprint
MAC-10 | Aloha
USP-S | Blueprint
M4A1-S | Briefing
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers
M4A1-S | Briefing12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Operation Hydra Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Sniper Rifle skin in the pool, so SSG 08 | Death's Head is one of 5 equally likely results. These are the other 4.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 | 20% | $22.17 |
| SSG 08 | Death's Headyour target | 20% | $18.64 |
| P2000 | Woodsman | 20% | $18.49 |
| P250 | Red Rock | 20% | $15.66 |
| P90 | Death Grip | 20% | $15.22 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to SSG 08 | Death's Head’s range of 0.00–0.51. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0686 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2157 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5196 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.8137 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.4800 | 0.9412 |
“Not reachable” means SSG 08 | Death's Head’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What SSG 08 | Death's Head is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Well-Worn | $18.64 | −$13.86 |
| Minimal Wear | $19.10 | −$13.40 |
| Field-Tested | $21.27 | −$11.23 |
| Factory New | $21.39 | −$11.11 |
| Battle-Scarred | $21.92 | −$10.58 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.