How to Trade Up to PP-Bizon | Night Ops
PP-Bizon | Night Ops drops from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package, EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 20% 1 in 5
- Contract cost from
- $0.30 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $0.12 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -60% $-0.18 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred PP-Bizon | Night Ops costs $0.10 outright, against $0.30 for a contract with a 20% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 20% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at PP-Bizon | Night Ops specifically.
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
SG 553 | Waves Perforated
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed
AUG | Storm
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
SG 553 | Waves Perforated
Galil AR | Sage Spray
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Galil AR | Sage Spray
P250 | Boreal Forest
P250 | Boreal Forest
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package / EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade SMG skin in the pool, so PP-Bizon | Night Ops is one of 5 equally likely results. These are the other 4.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AWP | Safari Mesh | 20% | $0.16 |
| Desert Eagle | Mudder | 20% | $0.13 |
| XM1014 | Blue Steel | 20% | $0.12 |
| PP-Bizon | Night Opsyour target | 20% | $0.10 |
| FAMAS | Cyanospatter | 20% | $0.09 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to PP-Bizon | Night Ops’s range of 0.00–0.60. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0583 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1833 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.4417 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.6917 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.5250 | 0.8750 |
“Not reachable” means PP-Bizon | Night Ops’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What PP-Bizon | Night Ops is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $0.10 | −$0.20 |
| Field-Tested | $0.11 | −$0.19 |
| Minimal Wear | $0.11 | −$0.19 |
| Well-Worn | $0.16 | −$0.14 |
| Factory New | $0.25 | −$0.05 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.