How to Trade Up to P90 | Blind Spot
P90 | Blind Spot drops from eSports 2013 Winter Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $15.90 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $9.94 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -37.5% $-5.96 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested P90 | Blind Spot costs $6.61 outright, against $15.90 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from eSports 2013 Winter Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at P90 | Blind Spot specifically.
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
Five-SeveN | Nightshade
Five-SeveN | Nightshade
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
Nova | Ghost Camo
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
Nova | Ghost Camo
Nova | Ghost Camo
P250 | Steel Disruption9 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from eSports 2013 Winter Case draws uniformly from every Restricted SMG skin in the pool, so P90 | Blind Spot is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Blue Laminate | 50% | $13.26 |
| P90 | Blind Spotyour target | 50% | $6.61 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to P90 | Blind Spot’s range of 0.00–0.50. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0700 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2200 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5300 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.8300 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.4750 | 0.9500 |
“Not reachable” means P90 | Blind Spot’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What P90 | Blind Spot is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $6.61 | −$9.29 |
| Factory New | $8.15 | −$7.75 |
| Well-Worn | $8.23 | −$7.67 |
| Minimal Wear | $8.37 | −$7.53 |
| Battle-Scarred | $9.01 | −$6.89 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.