How to Trade Up to AWP | Electric Hive
AWP | Electric Hive drops from eSports 2013 Winter CaseeSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, eSports 2013 Winter Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $9690.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $4330.67 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -55.3% $-5359.33 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested AWP | Electric Hive costs $2598.00 outright, against $9690.00 for a contract with a 33.33% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from eSports 2013 Winter CaseeSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case or eSports 2013 Winter Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at AWP | Electric Hive specifically.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from eSports 2013 Winter CaseeSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case / eSports 2013 Winter Case draws uniformly from every Classified Sniper Rifle skin in the pool, so AWP | Electric Hive is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption | 33.33% | $8066.00 |
| AWP | Electric Hiveyour target | 33.33% | $2598.00 |
| FAMAS | Afterimage | 33.33% | $2328.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to AWP | Electric Hive’s range of 0.00–0.40. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0875 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2750 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.6625 |
| Well-Worn | 0.3900 | 0.9750 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means AWP | Electric Hive’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What AWP | Electric Hive is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $2598.00 | −$7092.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $2947.00 | −$6743.00 |
| Well-Worn | $4356.00 | −$5334.00 |
| Factory New | $10403.00 | +$713.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.