Operation Wildfire Case Skins

The Operation Wildfire Case contains 16 weapon skins across 16 weapons and 13 rare knife/glove drops. By rarity: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 6 Mil-Spec. The Covert skins are AK-47 | Fuel Injector and M4A4 | The Battlestar.

The most expensive regular skin from the Operation Wildfire Case is the AK-47 | Fuel Injector, currently priced at $355.33 in Factory New. Among rare special items, knives and gloves can sell for significantly more — check the Rare Special Items section above for current prices.

The Operation Wildfire Case can drop 13 rare special items including Bowie Knife | Crimson Web, Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh, Bowie Knife | Case Hardened, Bowie Knife | Urban Masked, Bowie Knife | Night, Bowie Knife | Blue Steel, Bowie Knife | Fade, Bowie Knife | Slaughter and 5 more. These have approximately a 0.26% chance of dropping per opening.

The most affordable skin from the Operation Wildfire Case is the MAC-10 | Lapis Gator, starting at around $1.85 in Factory New. Mil-Spec grade skins are the most common drops and typically the most affordable.

Opening the Operation Wildfire Case requires the case itself (~$2.91) plus a key ($2.49 on Steam). The total cost is approximately $5.40. Most openings return Mil-Spec or Industrial skins worth less than the opening cost, but rare Covert or knife drops can be worth many times more.

Statistically, no: based on Valve's drop odds and live prices across 40+ marketplaces, one Operation Wildfire Case opening costs $5.40 (case + key) and returns $2.76 in expected value — an expected return of -48.9%. Rare drops are why people open anyway: the top Covert skin (AK-47 | Fuel Injector) is worth ~$355.33. See the Unboxing Odds & ROI section above for the full breakdown.

Compare Operation Wildfire Case prices across 40+ marketplaces on SteamAnalyst. Third-party markets like Skinport, BUFF163, and CSFloat often offer cases at lower prices than the Steam Community Market due to reduced fees. Prices can vary 10-30% between platforms.