How to Trade Up to XM1014 | Teclu Burner
XM1014 | Teclu Burner drops from Revolver Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 16.67% 1 in 6
- Contract cost from
- $2.10 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $1.18 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -43.8% $-0.92 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested XM1014 | Teclu Burner costs $1.27 outright, against $2.10 for a contract with a 16.67% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Revolver Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 16.67% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at XM1014 | Teclu Burner specifically.
Sawed-Off | Yorick
Sawed-Off | Yorick
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
AUG | Ricochet
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
Sawed-Off | Yorick
AUG | Ricochet
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
Sawed-Off | Yorick
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
AUG | Ricochet12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Revolver Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Shotgun skin in the pool, so XM1014 | Teclu Burner is one of 6 equally likely results. These are the other 5.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| XM1014 | Teclu Burneryour target | 16.67% | $1.27 |
| Tec-9 | Avalanche | 16.67% | $1.26 |
| PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod | 16.67% | $1.19 |
| Negev | Power Loader | 16.67% | $1.15 |
| SG 553 | Tiger Moth | 16.67% | $1.15 |
| Five-SeveN | Retrobution | 16.67% | $1.08 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to XM1014 | Teclu Burner’s range of 0.00–0.65. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0538 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1692 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.4077 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.6385 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.5500 | 0.8462 |
“Not reachable” means XM1014 | Teclu Burner’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What XM1014 | Teclu Burner is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $1.27 | −$0.83 |
| Battle-Scarred | $1.32 | −$0.78 |
| Well-Worn | $1.64 | −$0.46 |
| Minimal Wear | $2.08 | −$0.02 |
| Factory New | $4.64 | +$2.54 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.