How to Trade Up to P90 | Run and Hide
P90 | Run and Hide drops from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $20650.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $14143.00 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -31.5% $-6507.00 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred P90 | Run and Hide costs $14055.00 outright, against $20650.00 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at P90 | Run and Hide specifically.
XM1014 | Ancient Lore
XM1014 | Ancient Lore
USP-S | Ancient Visions
USP-S | Ancient Visions
XM1014 | Ancient Lore
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
USP-S | Ancient Visions
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
MAC-10 | Gold Brick
USP-S | Ancient Visions
XM1014 | Ancient Lore2 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Classified SMG skin in the pool, so P90 | Run and Hide is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Panthera onca | 50% | $14231.00 |
| P90 | Run and Hideyour target | 50% | $14055.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to P90 | Run and Hide’s range of 0.00–1.00. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0350 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1100 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2650 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4150 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.7250 | 0.7250 |
“Not reachable” means P90 | Run and Hide’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What P90 | Run and Hide is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $14055.00 | −$6595.00 |
| Well-Worn | $14473.00 | −$6177.00 |
| Field-Tested | $16047.00 | −$4603.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $18061.00 | −$2589.00 |
| Factory New | $26276.00 | +$5626.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.