
How to Trade Up to P2000 | Granite Marbleized
P2000 | Granite Marbleized drops from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package, EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 3.03% 1 in 33
- Contract cost from
- $20.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $226.36 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- +1031.8% +$206.36 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred P2000 | Granite Marbleized costs $12.00 outright, against $20.00 for a contract with a 3.03% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 3.03% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at P2000 | Granite Marbleized specifically.
MP9 | Sand Dashed
FAMAS | Colony
G3SG1 | Desert Storm
PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed
MP7 | Army Recon
Dual Berettas | Colony
Tec-9 | Army Mesh
G3SG1 | Polar Camo
PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed
UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT
G3SG1 | Desert Storm
FAMAS | Colony12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package / EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade Pistol skin in the pool, so P2000 | Granite Marbleized is one of 33 equally likely results. These are the other 32.
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to P2000 | Granite Marbleized’s range of 0.06–0.80. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0650 | 0.0068 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.0676 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2770 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4797 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6250 | 0.7635 |
“Not reachable” means P2000 | Granite Marbleized’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What P2000 | Granite Marbleized is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $12.00 | −$8.00 |
| Field-Tested | $13.00 | −$7.00 |
| Well-Worn | $13.00 | −$7.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Factory New | $1068.00 | +$1048.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.