How to Trade Up to Negev | Power Loader
Negev | Power Loader drops from Revolver CaseRevolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, Revolver Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 16.67% 1 in 6
- Contract cost from
- $210.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $118.67 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -43.5% $-91.33 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Well-Worn Negev | Power Loader costs $113.00 outright, against $210.00 for a contract with a 16.67% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Revolver CaseRevolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case or Revolver Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 16.67% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Negev | Power Loader specifically.
Sawed-Off | Yorick
Sawed-Off | Yorick
AUG | Ricochet
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
AUG | Ricochet
R8 Revolver | Crimson Web
Sawed-Off | Yorick
Sawed-Off | Yorick
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
AUG | Ricochet12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Revolver CaseRevolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case / Revolver Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Machinegun skin in the pool, so Negev | Power Loader is one of 6 equally likely results. These are the other 5.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Tec-9 | Avalanche | 16.67% | $129.00 |
| XM1014 | Teclu Burner | 16.67% | $128.00 |
| PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod | 16.67% | $120.00 |
| SG 553 | Tiger Moth | 16.67% | $115.00 |
| Negev | Power Loaderyour target | 16.67% | $113.00 |
| Five-SeveN | Retrobution | 16.67% | $107.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Negev | Power Loader’s range of 0.00–1.00. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0350 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1100 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2650 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4150 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.7250 | 0.7250 |
“Not reachable” means Negev | Power Loader’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Negev | Power Loader is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Well-Worn | $113.00 | −$97.00 |
| Battle-Scarred | $121.00 | −$89.00 |
| Field-Tested | $145.00 | −$65.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $388.00 | +$178.00 |
| Factory New | $893.00 | +$683.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.