How to Trade Up to MP9 | Mount Fuji
MP9 | Mount Fuji drops from Operation Riptide Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 20% 1 in 5
- Contract cost from
- $4.80 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $3.35 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -30.2% $-1.45 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred MP9 | Mount Fuji costs $4.51 outright, against $4.80 for a contract with a 20% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Operation Riptide Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 20% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MP9 | Mount Fuji specifically.
Dual Berettas | Tread
PP-Bizon | Lumen
Dual Berettas | Tread
AUG | Plague
MP7 | Guerrilla
AUG | Plague
USP-S | Black Lotus
MP7 | Guerrilla
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs
G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs
AUG | Plague
USP-S | Black Lotus12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Operation Riptide Case draws uniformly from every Restricted SMG skin in the pool, so MP9 | Mount Fuji is one of 5 equally likely results. These are the other 4.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Spider Lily | 20% | $5.30 |
| MP9 | Mount Fujiyour target | 20% | $4.51 |
| Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol | 20% | $2.84 |
| FAMAS | ZX Spectron | 20% | $2.29 |
| MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum | 20% | $1.83 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MP9 | Mount Fuji’s range of 0.00–0.55. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0636 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2000 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.4818 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.7545 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.5000 | 0.9091 |
“Not reachable” means MP9 | Mount Fuji’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MP9 | Mount Fuji is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $4.51 | −$0.29 |
| Field-Tested | $4.79 | −$0.01 |
| Well-Worn | $4.99 | +$0.19 |
| Minimal Wear | $7.90 | +$3.10 |
| Factory New | $12.39 | +$7.59 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.