How to Trade Up to MP9 | Dark Age
MP9 | Dark Age drops from ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Industrial Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $7920.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $5666.50 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -28.5% $-2253.50 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Minimal Wear MP9 | Dark Age costs $5961.00 outright, against $7920.00 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Industrial Grade, all from ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package or Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MP9 | Dark Age specifically.
USP-S | Royal Blue
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat
USP-S | Royal Blue
Nova | Green Apple
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat
USP-S | Royal Blue
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat
Nova | Green Apple
Nova | Green Apple
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat
MAG-7 | Silver
Sawed-Off | Rust Coat3 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / ESL One Cologne 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / MLG Columbus 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / Atlanta 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / Krakow 2017 Cobblestone Souvenir Package / Boston 2018 Cobblestone Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Mil-Spec Grade SMG skin in the pool, so MP9 | Dark Age is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| MP9 | Dark Ageyour target | 50% | $5961.00 |
| P2000 | Chainmail | 50% | $5372.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MP9 | Dark Age’s range of 0.00–0.22. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.1591 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.5000 |
| Field-Tested | 0.1850 | 0.8409 |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means MP9 | Dark Age’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MP9 | Dark Age is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Minimal Wear | $5961.00 | −$1959.00 |
| Field-Tested | $7039.00 | −$881.00 |
| Factory New | $8076.00 | +$156.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.