How to Trade Up to MAG-7 | Praetorian
MAG-7 | Praetorian drops from Operation Wildfire Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 20% 1 in 5
- Contract cost from
- $3.90 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $2.04 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -47.7% $-1.86 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested MAG-7 | Praetorian costs $1.59 outright, against $3.90 for a contract with a 20% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Operation Wildfire Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 20% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MAG-7 | Praetorian specifically.
Tec-9 | Jambiya
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone
Tec-9 | Jambiya
Dual Berettas | Cartel
Dual Berettas | Cartel
SSG 08 | Necropos
SSG 08 | Necropos
PP-Bizon | Photic Zone
USP-S | Lead Conduit
USP-S | Lead Conduit
Tec-9 | Jambiya
SSG 08 | Necropos12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Operation Wildfire Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Shotgun skin in the pool, so MAG-7 | Praetorian is one of 5 equally likely results. These are the other 4.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| FAMAS | Valence | 20% | $2.89 |
| Glock-18 | Royal Legion | 20% | $2.21 |
| MP7 | Impire | 20% | $1.94 |
| MAG-7 | Praetorianyour target | 20% | $1.59 |
| Five-SeveN | Triumvirate | 20% | $1.59 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MAG-7 | Praetorian’s range of 0.00–0.45. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0778 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2444 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5889 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.9222 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means MAG-7 | Praetorian’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MAG-7 | Praetorian is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $1.59 | −$2.31 |
| Well-Worn | $1.81 | −$2.09 |
| Minimal Wear | $1.89 | −$2.01 |
| Factory New | $6.09 | +$2.19 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.