How to Trade Up to SSG 08 | Big Iron
SSG 08 | Big Iron drops from Shadow CaseShadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, Shadow Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $1040.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $993.67 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -4.5% $-46.33 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested SSG 08 | Big Iron costs $861.00 outright, against $1040.00 for a contract with a 33.33% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from Shadow CaseShadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case or Shadow Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at SSG 08 | Big Iron specifically.
M249 | Nebula Crusader
M249 | Nebula Crusader
MP7 | Special Delivery
MP7 | Special Delivery
P250 | Wingshot
P250 | Wingshot
P250 | Wingshot
M249 | Nebula Crusader
MP7 | Special Delivery
MP7 | Special Delivery
Galil AR | Stone Cold
M249 | Nebula Crusader8 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Shadow CaseShadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case / Shadow Case draws uniformly from every Classified Sniper Rifle skin in the pool, so SSG 08 | Big Iron is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Frontside Misty | 33.33% | $1534.00 |
| SSG 08 | Big Ironyour target | 33.33% | $861.00 |
| G3SG1 | Flux | 33.33% | $586.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to SSG 08 | Big Iron’s range of 0.00–0.64. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0547 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1719 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.4141 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.6484 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.5450 | 0.8516 |
“Not reachable” means SSG 08 | Big Iron’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What SSG 08 | Big Iron is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $861.00 | −$179.00 |
| Battle-Scarred | $892.00 | −$148.00 |
| Well-Worn | $980.00 | −$60.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $1480.00 | +$440.00 |
| Factory New | $3451.00 | +$2411.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.