How to Trade Up to SSG 08 | Acid Fade
SSG 08 | Acid Fade drops from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package, EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Industrial Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $0.80 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $0.35 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -56.2% $-0.45 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Factory New SSG 08 | Acid Fade costs $0.75 outright, against $0.80 for a contract with a 33.33% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Industrial Grade, all from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at SSG 08 | Acid Fade specifically.
G3SG1 | VariCamo
AUG | Condemned
Galil AR | VariCamo
AUG | Condemned
M249 | Gator Mesh
MP9 | Orange Peel
M249 | Gator Mesh
G3SG1 | VariCamo
MP9 | Orange Peel
Galil AR | VariCamo
USP-S | Forest Leaves
USP-S | Forest Leaves12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package / EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Mil-Spec Grade Sniper Rifle skin in the pool, so SSG 08 | Acid Fade is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| SSG 08 | Acid Fadeyour target | 33.33% | $0.75 |
| Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz | 33.33% | $0.15 |
| FAMAS | Teardown | 33.33% | $0.15 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to SSG 08 | Acid Fade’s range of 0.00–0.03. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0150 | 0.5000 |
| Minimal Wear | — | not reachable |
| Field-Tested | — | not reachable |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means SSG 08 | Acid Fade’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.