How to Trade Up to MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak drops from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Industrial Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $0.30 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $0.19 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -36.7% $-0.11 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred MAC-10 | Pipsqueak costs $0.21 outright, against $0.30 for a contract with a 25% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Industrial Grade, all from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MAC-10 | Pipsqueak specifically.
P90 | Wash me
Negev | Wall Bang
Negev | Wall Bang
P90 | Wash me
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
P90 | Wash me
Negev | Wall Bang
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Mil-Spec Grade skin in the pool, so MAC-10 | Pipsqueak is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| MAC-10 | Pipsqueakyour target | 25% | $0.21 |
| Glock-18 | Teal Graf | 25% | $0.18 |
| Nova | Wurst Hölle | 25% | $0.18 |
| Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer | 25% | $0.17 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MAC-10 | Pipsqueak’s range of 0.00–0.90. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0389 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1222 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2944 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4611 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6750 | 0.7500 |
“Not reachable” means MAC-10 | Pipsqueak’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MAC-10 | Pipsqueak is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $0.21 | −$0.09 |
| Well-Worn | $0.22 | −$0.08 |
| Field-Tested | $0.25 | −$0.05 |
| Minimal Wear | $0.88 | +$0.58 |
| Factory New | $2.97 | +$2.67 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.