How to Trade Up to Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox drops from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $20030.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $15657.00 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -21.8% $-4373.00 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox costs $17596.00 outright, against $20030.00 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox specifically.
AUG | Sand Storm
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
AUG | Sand Storm
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
AUG | Sand Storm
XM1014 | Elegant Vines
AUG | Sand Storm
AUG | Sand Storm
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT1 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Classified Pistol skin in the pool, so Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Fennec Foxyour target | 50% | $17596.00 |
| MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis | 50% | $13718.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox’s range of 0.00–0.80. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0438 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1375 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.3313 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.5188 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6250 | 0.7813 |
“Not reachable” means Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $17596.00 | −$2434.00 |
| Battle-Scarred | $18944.00 | −$1086.00 |
| Well-Worn | $23025.00 | +$2995.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $23941.00 | +$3911.00 |
| Factory New | $47969.00 | +$27939.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.