How to Trade Up to AK-47 | Blue Laminate
AK-47 | Blue Laminate drops from eSports 2013 Winter Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $18.60 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $10.29 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -44.7% $-8.31 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested AK-47 | Blue Laminate costs $13.36 outright, against $18.60 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from eSports 2013 Winter Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at AK-47 | Blue Laminate specifically.
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
Five-SeveN | Nightshade
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil
Five-SeveN | Nightshade
Nova | Ghost Camo
Nova | Ghost Camo
Nova | Ghost Camo
P250 | Steel Disruption9 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from eSports 2013 Winter Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Rifle skin in the pool, so AK-47 | Blue Laminate is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Blue Laminateyour target | 50% | $13.36 |
| P90 | Blind Spot | 50% | $7.22 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to AK-47 | Blue Laminate’s range of 0.02–0.40. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0450 | 0.0658 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2368 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.6447 |
| Well-Worn | 0.3900 | 0.9737 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means AK-47 | Blue Laminate’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What AK-47 | Blue Laminate is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $13.36 | −$5.24 |
| Minimal Wear | $14.40 | −$4.20 |
| Well-Worn | $21.07 | +$2.47 |
| Factory New | $22.62 | +$4.02 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.