How to Trade Up to XM1014 | XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO drops from Snakebite CaseSnakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, Snakebite Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $360.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $317.00 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -11.9% $-43.00 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred XM1014 | XOXO costs $304.00 outright, against $360.00 for a contract with a 33.33% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from Snakebite CaseSnakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case or Snakebite Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at XM1014 | XOXO specifically.
MAC-10 | Button Masher
P250 | Cyber Shell
Negev | dev_texture
Negev | dev_texture
MAC-10 | Button Masher
P250 | Cyber Shell
P250 | Cyber Shell
Negev | dev_texture
MAC-10 | Button Masher
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline
Negev | dev_texture12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Snakebite CaseSnakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case / Snakebite Case draws uniformly from every Classified Shotgun skin in the pool, so XM1014 | XOXO is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration | 33.33% | $325.00 |
| MP9 | Food Chain | 33.33% | $322.00 |
| XM1014 | XOXOyour target | 33.33% | $304.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to XM1014 | XOXO’s range of 0.00–0.90. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0389 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1222 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2944 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4611 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6750 | 0.7500 |
“Not reachable” means XM1014 | XOXO’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What XM1014 | XOXO is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $304.00 | −$56.00 |
| Well-Worn | $328.00 | −$32.00 |
| Field-Tested | $378.00 | +$18.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $536.00 | +$176.00 |
| Factory New | $1593.00 | +$1233.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.