How to Trade Up to USP-S | Ancient Visions
USP-S | Ancient Visions drops from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $3940.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $2858.33 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -27.5% $-1081.67 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Minimal Wear USP-S | Ancient Visions costs $2919.00 outright, against $3940.00 for a contract with a 33.33% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at USP-S | Ancient Visions specifically.
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
FAMAS | Dark Water
Galil AR | Dusk Ruins
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
Galil AR | Dusk Ruins
AUG | Carved Jade
Galil AR | Dusk Ruins
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past
AUG | Carved Jade
Galil AR | Dusk Ruins3 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Restricted Pistol skin in the pool, so USP-S | Ancient Visions is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| MAC-10 | Gold Brick | 33.33% | $3591.00 |
| USP-S | Ancient Visionsyour target | 33.33% | $2919.00 |
| XM1014 | Ancient Lore | 33.33% | $2065.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to USP-S | Ancient Visions’s range of 0.00–0.45. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0778 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2444 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5889 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.9222 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means USP-S | Ancient Visions’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What USP-S | Ancient Visions is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Minimal Wear | $2919.00 | −$1021.00 |
| Field-Tested | $2987.00 | −$953.00 |
| Well-Worn | $4253.00 | +$313.00 |
| Factory New | $5574.00 | +$1634.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.