How to Trade Up to P90 | Facility Negative
P90 | Facility Negative drops from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package, Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package, Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Industrial Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $0.60 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $0.31 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -48.3% $-0.29 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested P90 | Facility Negative costs $0.16 outright, against $0.60 for a contract with a 25% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Industrial Grade, all from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package or Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package or Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package or Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package or Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package or Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at P90 | Facility Negative specifically.
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
Negev | Bulkhead
M4A4 | Mainframe
M4A4 | Mainframe
Negev | Bulkhead
MP7 | Motherboard
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
Negev | Bulkhead
M4A4 | Mainframe
MP7 | Motherboard
Negev | Bulkhead
M4A4 | Mainframe8 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package / Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package / Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package / Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package / Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package / Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Mil-Spec Grade SMG skin in the pool, so P90 | Facility Negative is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AWP | Acheron | 25% | $0.75 |
| P250 | Exchanger | 25% | $0.17 |
| MP5-SD | Co-Processor | 25% | $0.17 |
| P90 | Facility Negativeyour target | 25% | $0.16 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to P90 | Facility Negative’s range of 0.00–0.50. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0700 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2200 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5300 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.8300 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.4750 | 0.9500 |
“Not reachable” means P90 | Facility Negative’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What P90 | Facility Negative is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $0.16 | −$0.44 |
| Battle-Scarred | $0.22 | −$0.38 |
| Well-Worn | $0.29 | −$0.31 |
| Minimal Wear | $0.40 | −$0.20 |
| Factory New | $2.13 | +$1.53 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.