How to Trade Up to MP9 | Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush drops from Austin 2025 Train Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $1340.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $1052.50 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -21.5% $-287.50 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred MP9 | Latte Rush costs $893.00 outright, against $1340.00 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Restricted, all from Austin 2025 Train Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MP9 | Latte Rush specifically.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Austin 2025 Train Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Classified skin in the pool, so MP9 | Latte Rush is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Hellish | 50% | $1212.00 |
| MP9 | Latte Rushyour target | 50% | $893.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MP9 | Latte Rush’s range of 0.00–1.00. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0350 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1100 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2650 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4150 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.7250 | 0.7250 |
“Not reachable” means MP9 | Latte Rush’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MP9 | Latte Rush is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $893.00 | −$447.00 |
| Well-Worn | $962.00 | −$378.00 |
| Field-Tested | $1145.00 | −$195.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $3375.00 | +$2035.00 |
| Factory New | $7048.00 | +$5708.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.