How to Trade Up to Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT drops from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package, Shanghai 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package, Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 33.33% 1 in 3
- Contract cost from
- $22.40 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $20.91 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -6.7% $-1.49 per contract
This contract is EV-negative. The cheapest ten inputs cost $22.40 and the outcome pool averages $20.91, so it loses $1.49 per contract on average even before you account for hitting the wrong skin.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package or Shanghai 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package or Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 33.33% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT specifically.
M249 | Humidor
SG 553 | Desert Blossom
MP9 | Music Box
MP9 | Music Box
SG 553 | Desert Blossom
M249 | Humidor
SG 553 | Desert Blossom
MP9 | Music Box
M249 | Humidor
USP-S | Purple DDPAT
M249 | Humidor
SG 553 | Desert Blossom8 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Mirage Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package / Shanghai 2024 Mirage Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package / Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Mirage Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Restricted Pistol skin in the pool, so Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT is one of 3 equally likely results. These are the other 2.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Pink DDPATyour target | 33.33% | $23.35 |
| XM1014 | Elegant Vines | 33.33% | $20.03 |
| AUG | Sand Storm | 33.33% | $19.34 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT’s range of 0.06–0.80. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0650 | 0.0068 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.0676 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2770 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4797 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6250 | 0.7635 |
“Not reachable” means Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $23.35 | +$0.95 |
| Well-Worn | $24.83 | +$2.43 |
| Battle-Scarred | $25.57 | +$3.17 |
| Minimal Wear | $32.11 | +$9.71 |
| Factory New | $69.29 | +$46.89 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.