How to Trade Up to Galil AR | Cold Fusion
Galil AR | Cold Fusion drops from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package, Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package, Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $0.20 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $0.09 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -55% $-0.11 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Battle-Scarred Galil AR | Cold Fusion costs $0.06 outright, against $0.20 for a contract with a 25% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package or Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package or Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package or Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package or Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package or Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Galil AR | Cold Fusion specifically.
P250 | Facility Draft
Nova | Mandrel
P250 | Facility Draft
UMP-45 | Facility Dark
Five-SeveN | Coolant
Five-SeveN | Coolant
Nova | Mandrel
UMP-45 | Facility Dark
Five-SeveN | Coolant
P250 | Facility Draft
PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch
PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from London 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package / Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package / Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package / Stockholm 2021 Nuke Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package / Shanghai 2024 Nuke Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package / Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Nuke Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade Rifle skin in the pool, so Galil AR | Cold Fusion is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| MP7 | Motherboard | 25% | $0.11 |
| Negev | Bulkhead | 25% | $0.10 |
| M4A4 | Mainframe | 25% | $0.07 |
| Galil AR | Cold Fusionyour target | 25% | $0.06 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Galil AR | Cold Fusion’s range of 0.00–0.83. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0422 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1325 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.3193 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.5000 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.6400 | 0.7711 |
“Not reachable” means Galil AR | Cold Fusion’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Galil AR | Cold Fusion is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $0.06 | −$0.14 |
| Field-Tested | $0.11 | −$0.09 |
| Well-Worn | $0.21 | +$0.01 |
| Minimal Wear | $0.23 | +$0.03 |
| Factory New | $0.71 | +$0.51 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.