How to Trade Up to P2000 | Panther Camo
P2000 | Panther Camo drops from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $2.70 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $2.23 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -17.4% $-0.47 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested P2000 | Panther Camo costs $2.04 outright, against $2.70 for a contract with a 25% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at P2000 | Panther Camo specifically.
P90 | Ancient Earth
SG 553 | Lush Ruins
P90 | Ancient Earth
Nova | Army Sheen
SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed
Nova | Army Sheen
R8 Revolver | Night
SG 553 | Lush Ruins
SG 553 | Lush Ruins
Nova | Army Sheen
R8 Revolver | Night
P90 | Ancient Earth11 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade Pistol skin in the pool, so P2000 | Panther Camo is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| CZ75-Auto | Silver | 25% | $3.17 |
| P2000 | Panther Camoyour target | 25% | $2.04 |
| G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual | 25% | $1.90 |
| MP7 | Tall Grass | 25% | $1.82 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to P2000 | Panther Camo’s range of 0.00–0.50. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0700 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2200 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5300 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.8300 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.4750 | 0.9500 |
“Not reachable” means P2000 | Panther Camo’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What P2000 | Panther Camo is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $2.04 | −$0.66 |
| Battle-Scarred | $2.46 | −$0.24 |
| Well-Worn | $2.53 | −$0.17 |
| Minimal Wear | $3.05 | +$0.35 |
| Factory New | $8.02 | +$5.32 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.