How to Trade Up to MP7 | Ocean Foam
MP7 | Ocean Foam drops from eSports 2014 Summer Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 20% 1 in 5
- Contract cost from
- $19.10 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $6.86 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -64.1% $-12.24 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Factory New MP7 | Ocean Foam costs $9.86 outright, against $19.10 for a contract with a 20% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from eSports 2014 Summer Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 20% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at MP7 | Ocean Foam specifically.
XM1014 | Red Python
CZ75-Auto | Hexane
Negev | Bratatat
Negev | Bratatat
SSG 08 | Dark Water
Negev | Bratatat
CZ75-Auto | Hexane
USP-S | Blood Tiger
USP-S | Blood Tiger
XM1014 | Red Python
Negev | Bratatat
XM1014 | Red Python11 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up finder to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from eSports 2014 Summer Case draws uniformly from every Restricted SMG skin in the pool, so MP7 | Ocean Foam is one of 5 equally likely results. These are the other 4.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| MP7 | Ocean Foamyour target | 20% | $9.86 |
| Glock-18 | Steel Disruption | 20% | $9.75 |
| Desert Eagle | Crimson Web | 20% | $9.72 |
| PP-Bizon | Blue Streak | 20% | $2.58 |
| P90 | Virus | 20% | $2.38 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to MP7 | Ocean Foam’s range of 0.00–0.08. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.4375 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.0750 | 0.9375 |
| Field-Tested | — | not reachable |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means MP7 | Ocean Foam’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What MP7 | Ocean Foam is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $9.86 | −$9.24 |
| Minimal Wear | $15.09 | −$4.01 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.