How to Trade Up to CZ75-Auto | Silver
CZ75-Auto | Silver drops from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package, Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package, Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package, Shanghai 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package, Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package, Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $3.10 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $2.26 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -27.1% $-0.84 per contract
This contract is EV-negative. The cheapest ten inputs cost $3.10 and the outcome pool averages $2.26, so it loses $0.84 per contract on average even before you account for hitting the wrong skin.
The contract
10 inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package or Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package or Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package or Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package or Shanghai 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package or Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package or Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at CZ75-Auto | Silver specifically.
P90 | Ancient Earth
SG 553 | Lush Ruins
P90 | Ancient Earth
Nova | Army Sheen
SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed
Nova | Army Sheen
R8 Revolver | Night
SG 553 | Lush Ruins
Nova | Army Sheen
P90 | Ancient Earth
R8 Revolver | Night
SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed11 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package / Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Rio 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package / Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package / Copenhagen 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package / Shanghai 2024 Ancient Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package / Austin 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package / Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Ancient Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade Pistol skin in the pool, so CZ75-Auto | Silver is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| CZ75-Auto | Silveryour target | 25% | $3.12 |
| P2000 | Panther Camo | 25% | $2.05 |
| MP7 | Tall Grass | 25% | $1.98 |
| G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual | 25% | $1.87 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to CZ75-Auto | Silver’s range of 0.00–0.08. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.4375 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.0750 | 0.9375 |
| Field-Tested | — | not reachable |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means CZ75-Auto | Silver’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What CZ75-Auto | Silver is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $3.12 | +$0.02 |
| Minimal Wear | $4.29 | +$1.19 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.