
How to Trade Up to AWP | Crakow!
AWP | Crakow! drops from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package, Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 100% 1 in 1
- Contract cost from
- $15.10 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $16.91 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- +12% +$1.81 per contract
This contract is EV-positive at floor prices. Ten cheapest inputs cost $15.10 against an outcome pool averaging $16.91 — $1.81 per contract. Individual rolls still vary; AWP | Crakow! itself is only 100% of them.
The contract
10 inputs, all Restricted, all from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package or Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 100% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at AWP | Crakow! specifically.
XM1014 | Monster Melt
AUG | Eye of Zapems
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels
AUG | Eye of Zapems
XM1014 | Monster Melt
AUG | Eye of Zapems
XM1014 | Monster Melt
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels
XM1014 | Monster Melt
AUG | Eye of Zapems
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels3 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Package / Budapest 2025 Overpass Souvenir Highlight Package draws uniformly from every Classified skin in the pool, so AWP | Crakow! is one of 1 equally likely results. These are the other 0.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AWP | Crakow!your target | 100% | $16.91 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to AWP | Crakow!’s range of 0.00–1.00. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0350 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.1100 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.2650 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.4150 |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.7250 | 0.7250 |
“Not reachable” means AWP | Crakow!’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What AWP | Crakow! is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Battle-Scarred | $16.91 | +$1.81 |
| Well-Worn | $18.19 | +$3.09 |
| Field-Tested | $23.90 | +$8.80 |
| Minimal Wear | $43.24 | +$28.14 |
| Factory New | $88.38 | +$73.28 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.