How to Trade Up to Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Sawed-Off | The Kraken drops from Winter Offensive Weapon CaseWinter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Classified skins from those same cases. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $12810.00 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $8298.00 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -35.2% $-4512.00 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested Sawed-Off | The Kraken costs $8151.00 outright, against $12810.00 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
Ten inputs, all Classified, all from Winter Offensive Weapon CaseWinter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case or Winter Offensive Weapon Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Sawed-Off | The Kraken specifically.
P250 | Mehndi
P250 | Mehndi
P250 | Mehndi
P250 | Mehndi
M4A1-S | Guardian
M4A1-S | Guardian
M4A1-S | Guardian
M4A1-S | Guardian
P250 | Mehndi
AWP | Redline
AWP | Redline
AWP | Redline1 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Winter Offensive Weapon CaseWinter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case / Winter Offensive Weapon Case draws uniformly from every Covert Shotgun skin in the pool, so Sawed-Off | The Kraken is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Asiimov | 50% | $8445.00 |
| Sawed-Off | The Krakenyour target | 50% | $8151.00 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Sawed-Off | The Kraken’s range of 0.00–0.40. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0875 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2750 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.6625 |
| Well-Worn | 0.3900 | 0.9750 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means Sawed-Off | The Kraken’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Sawed-Off | The Kraken is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $8151.00 | −$4659.00 |
| Minimal Wear | $8295.00 | −$4515.00 |
| Factory New | $8731.00 | −$4079.00 |
| Well-Worn | $14783.00 | +$1973.00 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.