How to Trade Up to PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber
PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber drops from Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Consumer Grade skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 100% 1 in 1
- Contract cost from
- $19.60 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $4.93 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -74.8% $-14.67 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Factory New PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber costs $4.93 outright, against $19.60 for a contract with a 100% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Consumer Grade, all from Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 100% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber specifically.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package draws uniformly from every Industrial Grade SMG skin in the pool, so PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber is one of 1 equally likely results. These are the other 0.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiberyour target | 100% | $4.93 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber’s range of 0.00–0.12. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.2917 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.0950 | 0.7917 |
| Field-Tested | — | not reachable |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What PP-Bizon | Carbon Fiber is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $4.93 | −$14.67 |
| Minimal Wear | $5.89 | −$13.71 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.