How to Trade Up to Desert Eagle | Hypnotic
Desert Eagle | Hypnotic drops from CS:GO Weapon Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Restricted skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 50% 1 in 2
- Contract cost from
- $588.30 10 × cheapest input
- Expected value
- $170.89 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -71% $-417.41 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Factory New Desert Eagle | Hypnotic costs $171.91 outright, against $588.30 for a contract with a 50% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Restricted, all from CS:GO Weapon Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 50% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at Desert Eagle | Hypnotic specifically.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from CS:GO Weapon Case draws uniformly from every Classified Pistol skin in the pool, so Desert Eagle | Hypnotic is one of 2 equally likely results. These are the other 1.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Hypnoticyour target | 50% | $171.91 |
| AK-47 | Case Hardened | 50% | $169.87 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to Desert Eagle | Hypnotic’s range of 0.00–0.08. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.4375 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.0750 | 0.9375 |
| Field-Tested | — | not reachable |
| Well-Worn | — | not reachable |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means Desert Eagle | Hypnotic’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What Desert Eagle | Hypnotic is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $171.91 | −$416.39 |
| Minimal Wear | $192.26 | −$396.04 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.