
How to Trade Up to AWP | Worm God
AWP | Worm God drops from Chroma 2 Case, so any contract that can produce it needs 10 Mil-Spec skins from that same case. Here is what the contract costs, what else it can land on, and the input float you need for each exterior.
- Odds per contract
- 25% 1 in 4
- Contract cost from
- $2.50 10× cheapest input
- Expected value
- $1.54 mean of the outcome pool
- Margin
- -38.4% $-0.96 per contract
Buying is cheaper than rolling. A Field-Tested AWP | Worm God costs $2.24 outright, against $2.50 for a contract with a 25% chance of producing one. Trade up for the process, not the value.
The contract
10 inputs, all Mil-Spec, all from Chroma 2 Case. Concentrating every input in one case is what keeps your odds at 25% — mixing cases splits the probability across both pools and lowers your chance at AWP | Worm God specifically.
P250 | Valence
Sawed-Off | Origami
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco
Sawed-Off | Origami
Negev | Man-o'-war
MP7 | Armor Core
Negev | Man-o'-war
Sawed-Off | Origami
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco
Sawed-Off | Origami
P250 | Valence
MP7 | Armor Core12 further eligible inputs are available — open the reverse trade-up calculator to price a full contract against your own inventory.
What else this contract can land on
A contract from Chroma 2 Case draws uniformly from every Restricted Sniper Rifle skin in the pool, so AWP | Worm God is one of 4 equally likely results. These are the other 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Cheapest price |
|---|---|---|
| AWP | Worm Godyour target | 25% | $2.24 |
| UMP-45 | Grand Prix | 25% | $1.34 |
| MAG-7 | Heat | 25% | $1.29 |
| CZ75-Auto | Pole Position | 25% | $1.28 |
Input float for each exterior
CS2 normalises float across a trade-up: each input’s float becomes a 0–1 position inside its own range, those are averaged, and the average is applied to AWP | Worm God’s range of 0.00–0.45. To land a given exterior, your ten inputs must average the normalised float below.
| Target exterior | Output float | Required avg. input float |
|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.0350 | 0.0778 |
| Minimal Wear | 0.1100 | 0.2444 |
| Field-Tested | 0.2650 | 0.5889 |
| Well-Worn | 0.4150 | 0.9222 |
| Battle-Scarred | — | not reachable |
“Not reachable” means AWP | Worm God’s own float range never enters that exterior band — no combination of inputs can produce it.
What AWP | Worm God is worth right now
Worth comparing against the contract cost above before you commit: buying the skin outright is frequently cheaper than rolling for it.
| Exterior | Price | vs. contract cost |
|---|---|---|
| Field-Tested | $2.24 | −$0.26 |
| Minimal Wear | $2.69 | +$0.19 |
| Well-Worn | $2.85 | +$0.35 |
| Factory New | $4.70 | +$2.20 |
Build this contract
Price a full ten-slot contract against live inputs, set your own float values, and see the outcome odds update as you go.