Worst CS2 Skins to Buy Right Now — Falling and Hard to Sell
Prices sliding, and thin enough trading that leaving means cutting the price. A falling market you can walk out of is a bad entry; a falling market you cannot is something else, and this list separates the two.
Showing 50 of 123 ranked items, re-sorted within the 1,200-item candidate pool.
| # | Item | Verdict | 7d | 30d | Liquidity | Sell in | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Autograph Capsule | Team SoloMid | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | 0% | ▲ +7.6% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $6.09 |
| 2 |  Katowice 2019 Returning Challengers (Holo-Foil) | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +4.8% | ▲ +0.5% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $13 |
| 3 |  Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +0.8% | ▲ +6.5% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $6.18 |
| 4 |  NIGHTMODE Music Kit BoxST | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +2.3% | ▲ +4.5% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $7.28 |
| 5 |  Autograph Capsule | Virtus.Pro | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +7.7% | ▲ +8.8% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $17 |
| 6 |  Cologne 2016 Train Package | Weak entry20rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +11.9% | ▲ +2.5% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $38 |
| 7 |  Autograph Capsule | mousesports | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry20medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +9.4% | ▲ +7.1% | Illiquid | ~1 week | $25 |
| 8 |  Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +3.3% | ▲ +3.1% | Illiquid | ~2 weeks | $8.74 |
| 9 |  Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +6.8% | ▼ -1.8% | Illiquid | ~3 months | $14 |
| 10 |  Cologne 2016 Cache Package | Weak entry21medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +7.8% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $81 |
| 11 |  Autograph Capsule | Team Kinguin | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -1.6% | ▲ +24.1% | Illiquid | ~1 week | $13 |
| 12 |  Cologne 2016 Mirage Package | Weak entry21medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.1% | ▲ +22.8% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $101 |
| 13 |  Krakow 2017 Mirage Package | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -1.3% | ▲ +24.9% | Illiquid | ~3 weeks | $59 |
| 14 |  Autograph Capsule | Luminosity Gaming | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -2.1% | ▲ +26.9% | Illiquid | ~2 weeks | $14 |
| 15 |  Autograph Capsule | Challengers | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry21rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -1.8% | ▲ +27.3% | Illiquid | ~9 months | $85 |
| 16 |  Autograph Capsule | Team EnVyUs | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry22rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +2.3% | ▲ +5.3% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $7.18 |
| 17 |  Autograph Capsule | FaZe Clan | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry22108% of the week's move was yesterday · rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +1.2% | ▲ +23.5% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $10 |
| 18 |  Autograph Capsule | Astralis | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry22rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -1.4% | ▲ +27.9% | Illiquid | ~4 weeks | $12 |
| 19 |  Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry22rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +12.3% | ▲ +8.9% | Illiquid | ~1 week | $24 |
| 20 |  Autograph Capsule | Luminosity Gaming | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry23rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +5.4% | ▲ +1.5% | Illiquid | ~3 months | $16 |
| 21 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Dust II Package | Weak entry23medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.7% | ▲ +30.3% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $115 |
| 22 |  Berlin 2019 Dust II Package | Weak entry23rarely trades — hard to exit | 0% | ▲ +29.7% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $23 |
| 23 |  ESL One Cologne 2015 Mirage Package | Weak entry23rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +5.5% | ▲ +21.4% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $73 |
| 24 |  DreamHack 2014 Cache Package | Weak entry24medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | 0% | ▲ +9.9% | Illiquid | ~9 months | $1,739 |
| 25 |  Initiators Music Kit BoxST | Weak entry24rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +6.9% | ▼ -0.1% | Illiquid | No flow | $6.83 |
| 26 |  London 2018 Legends Autograph Capsule | Weak entry24rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +0.5% | ▲ +9.6% | Illiquid | ~5 months | $10 |
| 27 |  Krakow 2017 Overpass Package | Weak entry24rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.7% | ▲ +33.9% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $90 |
| 28 |  Autograph Capsule | Renegades | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry24rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.1% | ▲ +33.6% | Illiquid | ~3 months | $14 |
| 29 |  Cologne 2016 Legends (Holo-Foil) | Weak entry25rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +2.0% | ▲ +7.9% | Illiquid | ~3 months | $31 |
| 30 |  London 2018 Inferno Package | Weak entry25rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -2.5% | ▲ +39.1% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $16 |
| 31 |  Autograph Capsule | Cloud9 G2A | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry25rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +5.3% | ▲ +28.8% | Illiquid | ~2 weeks | $12 |
| 32 |  Berlin 2019 Mirage Package | Weak entry2583% of the week's move was yesterday · rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +3.3% | ▲ +31.9% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $25 |
| 33 |  Autograph Capsule | Vexed Gaming | Cluj-Napoca 2015 | Weak entry25rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -2.9% | ▲ +41.4% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $23 |
| 34 |  London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule | Weak entry26rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +2.9% | ▲ +7.3% | Illiquid | ~2 weeks | $9.12 |
| 35 |  Stockholm 2021 Vertigo Package | Weak entry26rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -4.3% | ▲ +44.4% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $5.82 |
| 36 |  Autograph Capsule | Team eBettle | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry26medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -6.2% | ▲ +48.1% | Illiquid | ~3 months | $24 |
| 37 |  DreamHack 2013 Package | Weak entry26medium confidence122% of the week's move was yesterday · rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +20.8% | ▲ +8.5% | Illiquid | a year+ | $1,827 |
| 38 |  Autograph Capsule | HellRaisers | Atlanta 2017 | Weak entry27rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -1.1% | ▲ +13.5% | Illiquid | ~4 weeks | $13 |
| 39 |  London 2018 Cache Package | Weak entry27rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -2.9% | ▲ +16.5% | Illiquid | ~5 months | $44 |
| 40 |  Autograph Capsule | Ninjas in Pyjamas | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry27rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +7.7% | ▲ +29.0% | Illiquid | ~3 weeks | $8.80 |
| 41 |  ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Package | Weak entry27medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +0.2% | ▲ +40.9% | Illiquid | ~4 months | $4,565 |
| 42 |  Rio 2022 Inferno Package | Weak entry27rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -9.5% | ▲ +55.5% | Illiquid | ~4 months | $8.80 |
| 43 |  MLG Columbus 2016 Train Package | Weak entry27medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.1% | ▲ +42.4% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $256 |
| 44 |  DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Cache Package | Weak entry27medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | 0% | ▲ +42.3% | Illiquid | ~7 months | $107 |
| 45 |  Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Package | Weak entry27rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +17.5% | ▲ +16.4% | Illiquid | ~4 weeks | $7.79 |
| 46 |  Autograph Capsule | G2 Esports | Cologne 2016 | Weak entry28rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +5.6% | ▲ +4.6% | Illiquid | a year+ | $45 |
| 47 |  Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | MLG Columbus 2016 | Weak entry28rarely trades — hard to exit | ▼ -0.6% | ▲ +47.7% | Illiquid | ~1 week | $13 |
| 48 |  Autograph Capsule | Flipsid3 Tactics | Cologne 2015 | Weak entry29rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +3.1% | ▲ +42.7% | Illiquid | ~1 month | $18 |
| 49 |  Boston 2018 Nuke Package | Weak entry29medium confidencerarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +26.3% | ▲ +9.0% | Illiquid | a year+ | $123 |
| 50 |  Berlin 2019 Vertigo Package | Weak entry29rarely trades — hard to exit | ▲ +13.0% | ▲ +29.5% | Illiquid | ~2 months | $17 |
How these ratings are reached
Momentum sets the rating
The 7-day change in the SteamAnalyst reference price at 60%, plus the 30-day change at 40%. Signed, so a week that contradicts its month damps itself instead of both being reported as good news. Above 8% blended is the top band; below -8% is the bottom one.
Liquidity can only pull it down
Measured from units actually traded over 30 days, not from price or popularity. Thin trading caps how well an item can rate however hard it is climbing, because you cannot realise a gain you cannot exit. Nothing about being easy to sell ever raises a rating — that would make this a volume ranking wearing a buy label.
Falling and illiquid is worse than either
On the way down the rule inverts. A falling price in a deep market is a bad entry you can still walk away from; a falling price with nobody trading is a trap, and it rates below the thing you can leave. The two sides are not mirror images and are not calculated as if they were.
What we leave out
Items with fewer than 20 recorded prices in the window, feeds that have not updated in 7 days, items without the 10 trading days needed to rate liquidity, and anything under $5 where a one-cent tick is a percentage point. Each is us declining to guess, not a judgement on the item.
Band boundaries are currently reasoned rather than fitted to the live distribution — they are an informed judgement about how this market moves, not a measurement of it. See the liquidity board for the trade-flow half on its own, or price trends for the price half.
Measurements, not advice. Nothing here predicts the future, and no indicator anticipates a game update, a tournament or a Steam sale. Never spend more than you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked questions
How do you decide which CS2 skins are best to buy?
Two readings, and neither is allowed to speak alone. The first is momentum: how the SteamAnalyst reference price has moved over the last 7 days, weighted against the last 30 so a one-week jump has to be confirmed by the month before it counts. The second is liquidity: whether the item actually trades, measured from real units changing hands over 30 days. Momentum sets the rating and liquidity can only pull it down — because a skin climbing 20% a week is worth nothing to you if there is no way to sell it again.
Why can an item rising fast still rate badly?
Because you have to be able to get back out. A rising price in a market where almost nothing trades is a number on a screen, not money — you would be buying into something with no buyers behind it. Thin trading caps how well an item can rate no matter how hard it is climbing, and an item that rarely trades at all cannot rate above "Weak entry".
What makes an item one of the worst to buy?
A falling price plus a market you cannot leave. Those two are worse together than either is alone: a falling price in a deep market is just a bad entry, since you can still sell. A falling price with nobody trading is a trap. So on the "worst to buy" list, thin trading pushes an item further down rather than merely capping it — the reverse of how it works on the buy side.
What is momentum and how is it calculated?
The 7-day price change weighted at 60%, plus the 30-day change at 40%. Signed, so the two argue with each other: a week up 10% inside a month down 10% blends to about +2% and lands in Neutral, which is the honest reading of a bounce inside a decline. An item needs roughly 8% blended momentum for the top band and 3% for the second.
Why does a big one-day jump not put an item at the top?
Because a week carried by its last day is a spike, not a trend — and it is the thing a momentum ranking gets wrong most often, sorting yesterday's jump to the top on the morning it is least likely to continue. When more than 50% of the week's move happened in the final day, the item cannot claim the top band and the row says so.
Where do the price changes come from?
The SteamAnalyst reference price — the same aggregate price shown in the price column here and on every skin page. That is deliberate: the percentage this page ranks on is the percentage the price beside it actually moved, and clicking through to the skin shows the same number. Three surfaces, one measurement.
Why is my skin missing from this list?
One of four reasons, and each is us declining to guess rather than a judgement on the item. We hold fewer than 20 recorded prices for it in the window; its price or trade data has not updated in over 7 days; we have not recorded the 10 trading days needed to rate its liquidity at all; or it is under $5, where a one-cent tick is a whole percentage point and the ranking would be measuring rounding rather than the market.
Is this financial advice?
No. It is a measurement of two things — where a price has been, and how readily the item trades — presented so you can see both and disagree with the conclusion. Neither predicts the future. Game updates, tournament demand and Steam sales all move this market in ways no indicator anticipates. Never spend more than you can afford to lose.